rivomarkets

Stats as of

bug.bay

+$2.1K
Tracked Trades
728
First Seen
Feb 5, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 13, 2026
Best In NFL
28% won ยท 86 settled ยท +$1.8K

bug.bay is a Kalshi trader with 728 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 111 wins and 212 losses on settled markets, $2.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Buffalo wins on Oct 13.

Win rate
34%
Return on settled
+10%
Money traded
$41.0K
Typical trade
$16
Avg entry
22ยข
Kalshi rank
#2,415

Profit over time

+$2.7K-$1.6K
Feb 5Oct 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข27111%10%-1 pts
20 to 40ยข27229%37%+8 pts
40 to 60ยข17447%61%+14 pts
60 to 80ยข571%
Over 80ยข690%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $418231%-$12
$4 to $1618229%-$48
$16 to $4818230%-$362
$48 to $1.8K18243%+$2.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL20728%+$1.8K
Baseball32738%+$422
Soccer9027%+$84
College football6845%-$7
Parlays23+$0
NBA70%-$107

Side taken

Yes 73%27% No

If you had copied bug.bay

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1855
Profit
on $26700 staked
99-168
Record
37% win rate
+7%
Return
314 still open
Profit over time267 settled trades
+$5.0K-$2.4K
Jul 13Oct 12
-$4.9K
Max drawdown
81% below peak
0.4ร—
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.11ร—
Profit factor
$18.7K won vs $16.8K lost
+7.6 pts
Edge vs implied
37% won at 29ยข avg
Longest losing streak
28
Deepest drawdown
63 trades

By category

sports267 settled+7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

63 open positions worth $6.7K

The markets bug.bay is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what bug.bay is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Buffalo wins
Oct 13
Sold Nosold 47ยข$1.8KExited
Buffalo wins
Oct 13, 4 fills
Yes40ยข$1.5K+$2.3K
LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points?
Oct 13
No48ยข$482+$523
See every position across 160 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Baltimore wins
    $961 on Yes at 42ยข, Sep 27
    +$1.3K
  2. 2
    Buffalo wins
    $864 on Yes at 40ยข, Oct 13
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    Detroit wins
    $893 on Yes at 44ยข, Oct 11
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Buffalo wins40ยข5100%+$2.3K
Los Angeles R wins46ยข30%-$2.4K
Pittsburgh wins36ยข30100%+$1.5K
Tampa Bay wins38ยข917%-$1.3K
USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance21ยข60%-$284

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 16Oct 13

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$203
Jun 2026+$953
Jul 2026-$1.1K
Aug 2026-$116
Sep 2026+$75
Oct 2026+$2.5K

Kalshi leaderboards

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