Stats as of
bus.clay
-$909
- Tracked Trades
- 770
- First Seen
- Mar 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 21, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 9% won · 366 settled · +$926
bus.clay is a Kalshi trader with 770 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 120 wins and 580 losses on settled markets, -$909 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Andrew Fenty,yes Timo Legout,yes Juan Cruz Martin Manzano,yes Sebastian Gorzny,yes Guido Ivan Justo,yes Laura Samson on Sep 21.
- Win rate
- 17%
- Return on settled
- -7%
- Money traded
- $22.1K
- Typical trade
- $8
- Avg entry
- 5¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,941
Profit over time
+$1.9K-$1.8K
Mar 11Sep 21
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5087%7%+1 pts
20 to 40¢14228%24%-4 pts
40 to 60¢5849%50%+1 pts
60 to 80¢2568%53%-15 pts
Over 80¢3793%100%+7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $219313%-$43
$2 to $819321%-$240
$8 to $1919213%+$253
$19 to $2.8K19223%-$879
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays3909%+$926
Soccer26726%-$1.8K
Baseball1425%+$4
XRP6615%-$48
Bitcoin1947%-$25
NFL1100%+$15
Side taken
Yes 87%13% No
If you had copied bus.clay
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$7583
Profit
on $46000 staked
90-370
Record
20% win rate
-16%
Return
+$0-$8.6K
Jul 13Sep 21
-$12.0K
Max drawdown
908% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.80×
Profit factor
$29.4K won vs $37.0K lost
+0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
20% won at 19¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 35
- Deepest drawdown
- 310 trades
By category
other460 settled-16%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Andrew Fenty,yes Timo Legout,yes Juan Cruz Martin Manzano,yes Sebastian Gorzny,yes Guido Ivan Justo,yes Laura Samson
Sep 21
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265FCC3AF882A-27F2CB54813
Sep 21
yes Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings,yes Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings,yes Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings,yes Toronto,yes Washington,yes Minnesota,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Los Angeles R,yes Over 27.5 points scored,yes Dallas,yes Over 165.5 points scored,yes Over 158.5 points scored
Sep 21
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.2Kyes Portugal advances,yes Colombia advances,yes Reg Time: Tie,yes Lionel Messi: 1+,yes Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored$17 on Yes at 1¢, Jul 2
- 2+$1.0Kyes Over 13.5 runs scored,yes Over 13.5 runs scored,yes Over 15.5 runs scored,yes Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Over 9.5 runs scored$37 on Yes at 4¢, Sep 10
- 3+$944no Tie,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,no Tie,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,no Tie,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,no Tie,yes Over 2.5 goals scored$66 on Yes at 7¢, Sep 18
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265FCC3AF882A-27F2CB548131+$0
yes Reg Time: Tie,yes Reg Time: USA,yes Reg Time: Spain,yes Reg Time: Tie,yes Reg Time: Tie,yes Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored1¢20%-$19
yes Dortmund,yes Manchester City,yes Real Madrid,yes Barcelona,yes Arsenal,yes PSG,yes Bodoe/Glimt,yes Roma,yes Manchester United0¢20%-$5
Will the Portugal win the 2026 Men's World Cup?7¢100%-$1.0K
Will the Morocco win the 2026 Men's World Cup?3¢30%-$833
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 24Sep 21
Profit by month
Mar 2026+$514
Apr 2026-$273
May 2026-$78
Jun 2026+$374
Jul 2026-$1.7K
Aug 2026-$317
Sep 2026+$536
Kalshi leaderboards
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