Stats as of
bus.launch
+$3.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 967
- First Seen
- Sep 9, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 12, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 28% won · 514 settled · +$3.9K
bus.launch is a Kalshi trader with 967 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 143 wins and 399 losses on settled markets, $3.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 12.
- Win rate
- 26%
- Return on settled
- +24%
- Money traded
- $37.5K
- Typical trade
- $7
- Avg entry
- 15¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,842
Profit over time
+$3.5K-$1.3K
Sep 21Oct 12
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢42110%13%+4 pts
20 to 40¢34229%32%+3 pts
40 to 60¢14847%72%+25 pts
60 to 80¢4368%100%+32 pts
Over 80¢1394%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $124222%+$28
$1 to $724222%+$176
$7 to $3924230%+$715
$40 to $1.6K24133%+$2.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin90628%+$3.9K
Parlays270%-$76
Soccer90%-$149
Tennis150%-$82
NFL40%-$546
Other crypto6+$0
Side taken
Yes 57%43% No
If you had copied bus.launch
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$22613
Profit
on $54200 staked
143-399
Record
26% win rate
+42%
Return
186 still open
+$22.6K-$1000
Sep 21Oct 12
-$8.5K
Max drawdown
212% below peak
2.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.57×
Profit factor
$62.5K won vs $39.9K lost
+5.5 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 21¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 59
- Deepest drawdown
- 107 trades
By category
crypto514 settled+49%
sports28 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
46 open positions worth $4.9K
The markets bus.launch is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 12
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026?
Oct 12
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 12, 6 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.9KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$473 on No at 20¢, Oct 10
- 2+$949BTC price up in next 15 mins?$118 on Yes at 11¢, Oct 8
- 3+$894BTC price up in next 15 mins?$257 on Yes at 22¢, Oct 10
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?25¢66228%+$3.2K
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026?13¢99100%+$451
Bitcoin price on Sep 24, 2026?25¢5256%+$497
Parlay: Not Hradec Kralove + Not Charlton + West Bromwich + Norwich + Over 0.5 goals scored + Chelsea advances + SL Benfica + Not Orlando + Not Over 4.5 goals scored + Not Over 4.5 goals scored + Al Nassr + Not Al-Fateh + Celtic + Not St. Mirren + Both Teams To Score + Both Teams To Score + Arsenal + PSG + Stuttgart + Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals1+$0
Villarreal wins11¢60%-$116
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 15Oct 12
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$859
Oct 2026+$4.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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