Stats as of
camp.lead
-$190
- Tracked Trades
- 311
- First Seen
- Feb 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 15, 2026
- Best In Ethereum
- 100% won · 87 settled · +$436
camp.lead is a Kalshi trader with 311 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 187 wins and 29 losses on settled markets, -$190 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Diana Shnaider wins on Oct 15.
- Win rate
- 87%
- Return on settled
- -1%
- Money traded
- $36.6K
- Typical trade
- $15
- Avg entry
- 82¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,940
Profit over time
+$572-$1.2K
Feb 13Oct 15
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢708%
40 to 60¢1053%0%-53 pts
60 to 80¢4169%45%-24 pts
Over 80¢19093%96%+2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $47898%+$5
$4 to $157889%-$44
$15 to $927883%-$202
$92 to $1.5K7779%+$52
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Commodities10199%+$322
College basketball5236%-$1.4K
Ethereum88100%+$436
NBA4157%+$519
Bitcoin18100%+$477
Baseball80%-$970
Side taken
Yes 47%53% No
If you had copied camp.lead
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$446
Profit
on $18300 staked
175-8
Record
96% win rate
+2%
Return
-$700
Max drawdown
231% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.56×
Profit factor
$1.2K won vs $800 lost
+2.3 pts
Edge vs implied
96% won at 93¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 7 trades
By category
crypto90 settled+7%
finance79 settled+7%
sports10 settled-65%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Diana Shnaider wins
Oct 15
Copper price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 15, 22 fills
ETH price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 15, 8 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$572Portland at Utah Winner?$975 on Yes at 63¢, Feb 13
- 2+$374BTC price up in next 15 mins?$961 on Yes at 72¢, Oct 13
- 3+$265KXEBASKETBALLGAME-26OCT131650BARRTATU-BARR$1.1K on Yes at 81¢, Oct 13
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
ETH price up in next 15 mins?93¢88100%+$436
Gold price up in next 15 mins?86¢27100%+$661
Clemson at Wake Forest Winner?68¢150%-$976
BTC price up in next 15 mins?84¢18100%+$477
Copper price up in next 15 mins?87¢23100%+$377
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 18Oct 15
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$1.2K
Oct 2026+$962
Kalshi leaderboards
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