Stats as of
close.llama4692
+$2.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 283
- First Seen
- Oct 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 15, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 47% won · 452 settled · +$3.5K
close.llama4692 is a Kalshi trader with 283 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 71 wins and 84 losses on settled markets, $2.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 15.
- Win rate
- 46%
- Return on settled
- +18%
- Money traded
- $30.5K
- Typical trade
- $45
- Avg entry
- 46¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,845
Profit over time
+$3.5K-$951
Oct 13Oct 15
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3610%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢8633%39%+6 pts
40 to 60¢6149%56%+7 pts
60 to 80¢4471%95%+24 pts
Over 80¢5689%39%-50 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $47134%-$1
$4 to $457139%+$132
$47 to $1407151%+$330
$140 to $9817059%+$2.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin25846%+$2.8K
Ethereum2336%-$182
Commodities2100%+$43
Side taken
Yes 50%50% No
If you had copied close.llama4692
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$415
Profit
on $15500 staked
71-84
Record
46% win rate
-3%
Return
-$2.3K
Max drawdown
3040% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.95×
Profit factor
$8.0K won vs $8.4K lost
-1.2 pts
Edge vs implied
46% won at 47¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 17
- Deepest drawdown
- 44 trades
By category
crypto153 settled-4%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 15, 5 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 15, 9 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 15, 9 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.5KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$946 on No at 38¢, Oct 14
- 2+$1.3KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$476 on Yes at 27¢, Oct 14
- 3+$956BTC price up in next 15 mins?$721 on No at 43¢, Oct 14
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?44¢25846%+$2.8K
ETH price up in next 15 mins?79¢2336%-$182
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?1+$0
KXNATGAS15M-26OCT131900-0093¢1100%+$43
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 18Oct 15
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$2.7K
Kalshi leaderboards
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