Stats as of
commonguy
+$781
- Tracked Trades
- 251
- First Seen
- Dec 20, 2025
- Last Trade
- Sep 26, 2026
- Best In MMA
- 73% won · 11 settled · +$665
commonguy is a Kalshi trader with 251 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 84 wins and 88 losses on settled markets, $781 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXITFWMATCH-26SEP25HOSOZE-OZE on Sep 26.
- Win rate
- 49%
- Return on settled
- +21%
- Money traded
- $7.0K
- Typical trade
- $8
- Avg entry
- 14¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,559
Profit over time
+$781-$71
Dec 20Sep 26
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢947%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢3229%17%-12 pts
40 to 60¢3948%83%+35 pts
60 to 80¢5070%97%+27 pts
Over 80¢3688%96%+8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $16330%-$4
$1 to $86353%-$18
$8 to $216347%-$31
$21 to $1.0K6272%+$833
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis14561%+$546
MMA2773%+$665
Bitcoin1317%-$214
Baseball920%-$65
Soccer320%-$76
Golf2+$0
Side taken
Yes 80%20% No
If you had copied commonguy
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$2925
Profit
on $14000 staked
72-68
Record
51% win rate
-21%
Return
2 still open
+$0-$2.9K
Aug 31Sep 21
-$5.4K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.57×
Profit factor
$3.9K won vs $6.8K lost
+6.3 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 45¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 26
- Deepest drawdown
- 81 trades
By category
other140 settled-21%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
2 open positions worth $5
The markets commonguy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Michika Ozeki wins
Sep 26, 3 fills
Hiromi Abe wins
Sep 26, 2 fills
Dylan Dietrich wins
Sep 26, 3 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$552Will Sean Strickland win the Chimaev vs Strickland professional MMA fight scheduled for May 9, 2026?$145 on Yes at 21¢, May 10
- 2+$183Dylan Dietrich wins$467 on Yes at 72¢, Sep 26
- 3+$171Paola Lopez wins$164 on Yes at 49¢, Sep 25
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXITFWMATCH-26SEP25HOSOZE-OZE2+$0
Hiromi Abe wins97¢2100%+$20
Dylan Dietrich wins72¢3100%+$183
Jennifer Rosa Dourado wins28¢30%-$110
Dias / Garcia Vidal wins68¢10100%+$140
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 29Sep 26
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$9
Apr 2026-$44
May 2026+$677
Sep 2026+$157
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
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