Stats as of
crucial.salmon6381
+$4.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 992
- First Seen
- Oct 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 11, 2026
- Best In College football
- 40% won · 500 settled · +$6.6K
crucial.salmon6381 is a Kalshi trader with 992 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 226 wins and 367 losses on settled markets, $4.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Las Vegas wins on Oct 11.
- Win rate
- 38%
- Return on settled
- +15%
- Money traded
- $89.4K
- Typical trade
- $18
- Avg entry
- 39¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,359
Profit over time
+$6.0K-$3.1K
Oct 10Oct 11
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6411%15%+4 pts
20 to 40¢19831%34%+3 pts
40 to 60¢43248%40%-8 pts
60 to 80¢15371%50%-21 pts
Over 80¢14589%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $324826%-$59
$4 to $1824840%+$32
$18 to $7424845%+$124
$74 to $2.2K24845%+$4.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
College football80740%+$6.6K
Baseball11222%-$2.4K
Hockey6530%-$477
NFL2100%+$1.3K
Soccer60%-$96
Side taken
Yes 60%40% No
If you had copied crucial.salmon6381
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$4682
Profit
on $59300 staked
226-367
Record
38% win rate
-8%
Return
-$9.9K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.87×
Profit factor
$32.0K won vs $36.7K lost
-4.0 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 42¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 46
- Deepest drawdown
- 254 trades
By category
sports593 settled-8%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Las Vegas wins
Oct 11
San Francisco wins
Oct 11
Chicago WS wins
Oct 11, 19 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.3KCalifornia wins$858 on Yes at 27¢, Oct 10
- 2+$2.1KUCLA wins$1.1K on Yes at 33¢, Oct 10
- 3+$1.7KNorthern Arizona wins$1.2K on Yes at 41¢, Oct 10
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Pittsburgh wins44¢6520%-$765
Chicago WS wins44¢230%-$1.7K
Arkansas wins41¢390%-$1.5K
UCF wins24¢140%-$855
California wins27¢27100%+$2.3K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 14Oct 11
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$4.9K
Kalshi leaderboards
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