Stats as of
deal.chef
-$466
- Tracked Trades
- 80
- First Seen
- Mar 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 10, 2026
- Best In MMA
- 38% won · 13 settled · +$981
deal.chef is a Kalshi trader with 80 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 11 wins and 46 losses on settled markets, -$466 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Brendan Allen,yes Julius Walker,yes Malcolm Wellmaker on Oct 10.
- Win rate
- 19%
- Return on settled
- -14%
- Money traded
- $5.3K
- Typical trade
- $37
- Avg entry
- 6¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,817
Profit over time
+$412-$930
Mar 11Oct 10
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢497%6%-1 pts
20 to 40¢1926%31%+5 pts
40 to 60¢349%50%+1 pts
60 to 80¢666%60%-6 pts
Over 80¢385%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $17200%-$82
$17 to $352020%+$86
$38 to $932029%-$194
$93 to $4562023%-$276
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays345%-$1.2K
MMA1538%+$981
College football7100%+$176
NBA20%-$111
Golf911%+$58
Bitcoin433%-$164
Side taken
Yes 85%15% No
If you had copied deal.chef
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$109
Profit
on $2700 staked
8-19
Record
30% win rate
+4%
Return
4 still open
+$1.1K-$100
Aug 17Oct 5
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
91% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.06×
Profit factor
$2.0K won vs $1.9K lost
+3.4 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 26¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 11
- Deepest drawdown
- 17 trades
By category
sports24 settled+11%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
4 open positions worth $187
The markets deal.chef is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Brendan Allen,yes Julius Walker,yes Malcolm Wellmaker
Oct 10
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 7, 2 fills
yes Salhahuddin Everett,yes Nell Ariano,yes Mateus Soares,yes Alexander Chavez,yes Alivia Bierley
Oct 6
Biggest wins
- 1+$931Sean Sharaf wins$103 on Yes at 10¢, Sep 20
- 2+$270Will Rory McIlroy win the Masters Tournament?$23 on Yes at 8¢, Mar 11
- 3+$177Will Paddy Pimblett win the Saint-Denis vs Pimblett professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 11, 2026?$144 on Yes at 45¢, Jul 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Michael Aswell,yes Tai Tuivasa9¢20%-$47
yes Kenneth Walker III: 15+,yes Travis Kelce: 25+,yes Bo Nix: 10+,yes J.K. Dobbins: 40+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 10+13¢20%-$56
yes Jalen Brunson: 1+,yes OG Anunoby: 1+,yes Julian Champagnie: 1+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 1+,yes San Antonio,yes Jalen Brunson: 20+,yes OG Anunoby: 10+,yes Mitchell Robinson: 2+,yes Stephon Castle: 2+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 8+18¢20%-$95
Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?22¢20%-$111
yes Brendan Allen,yes Julius Walker,yes Malcolm Wellmaker25¢10%-$285
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 13Oct 10
Profit by month
Mar 2026+$35
Apr 2026-$94
May 2026-$168
Jun 2026-$560
Jul 2026+$34
Aug 2026-$10
Sep 2026+$688
Oct 2026-$390
Kalshi leaderboards
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