Stats as of
decimal.llama2626
+$23.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 582
- First Seen
- Feb 26, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 12, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 25% won ยท 148 settled ยท +$21.1K
decimal.llama2626 is a Kalshi trader with 582 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 155 wins and 221 losses on settled markets, $23.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: no Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Matthew Stafford: 225+,yes LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points,yes Over 48.5 points on Oct 12.
- Win rate
- 41%
- Return on settled
- +33%
- Money traded
- $232.3K
- Typical trade
- $100
- Avg entry
- 18ยข
- Kalshi rank
- #198
Profit over time
+$27.7K-$5.4K
Feb 26Oct 12
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข1819%19%+9 pts
20 to 40ยข7728%44%+15 pts
40 to 60ยข11450%47%-3 pts
60 to 80ยข6269%96%+27 pts
Over 80ยข14892%100%+8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1514643%-$14
$15 to $10014644%+$1.5K
$100 to $34714531%-$1.3K
$348 to $8.8K14551%+$23.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays19525%+$21.0K
Golf10715%-$5.6K
NBA7566%+$8
Basketball8486%+$10.3K
NFL6469%-$378
Baseball18100%+$760
Side taken
Yes 65%35% No
If you had copied decimal.llama2626
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1877
Profit
on $16400 staked
78-86
Record
48% win rate
+11%
Return
+$3.3K-$834
Jul 13Oct 12
-$4.2K
Max drawdown
125% below peak
0.4ร
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.22ร
Profit factor
$10.5K won vs $8.6K lost
+5.4 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 42ยข avg
- Longest losing streak
- 17
- Deepest drawdown
- 83 trades
By category
other131 settled+15%
sports33 settled-1%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
no Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Matthew Stafford: 225+,yes LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points,yes Over 48.5 points
Oct 12
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20269DA110D4D00-4B2A4F9538E
Oct 12
yes Los Angeles D,yes Matthew Stafford: 225+,yes LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 12
Biggest wins
- 1+$10.5KWill San Antonio vs New York be the matchup in the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Finals?$2.0K on Yes at 16ยข, May 19
- 2+$7.9KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B1A187E48CD-02F5B804B63$1.0K on Yes at 12ยข, Oct 4
- 3+$7.8KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026EE0F5E5ED77-E99DEB216F2$572 on Yes at 7ยข, Oct 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will San Antonio vs New York be the matchup in the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Finals?16ยข65100%+$10.5K
yes New York,yes Oklahoma City wins by over 1.5 points,yes Scottie Scheffler10ยข20%-$982
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B1A187E48CD-02F5B804B6312ยข2100%+$7.9K
yes BYU,yes Texas Tech,yes USC,yes Indiana wins by over 27.5 points,yes Miami (FL) wins by over 27.5 points1+$0
yes Dallas,yes San Francisco,yes Cincinnati,yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R,yes MIN Vikings wins by over 9.5 points4ยข20%-$328
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 15Oct 12
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$761
Mar 2026+$282
Apr 2026-$2.4K
May 2026+$7.9K
Jun 2026-$1.5K
Jul 2026-$342
Aug 2026+$9.7K
Sep 2026-$4.5K
Oct 2026+$15.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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