rivomarkets

Stats as of

decimal.llama2626

+$23.4K
Tracked Trades
582
First Seen
Feb 26, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 12, 2026
Best In Parlays
25% won ยท 148 settled ยท +$21.1K

decimal.llama2626 is a Kalshi trader with 582 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 155 wins and 221 losses on settled markets, $23.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: no Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Matthew Stafford: 225+,yes LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points,yes Over 48.5 points on Oct 12.

Win rate
41%
Return on settled
+33%
Money traded
$232.3K
Typical trade
$100
Avg entry
18ยข
Kalshi rank
#198

Profit over time

+$27.7K-$5.4K
Feb 26Oct 12

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข1819%19%+9 pts
20 to 40ยข7728%44%+15 pts
40 to 60ยข11450%47%-3 pts
60 to 80ยข6269%96%+27 pts
Over 80ยข14892%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1514643%-$14
$15 to $10014644%+$1.5K
$100 to $34714531%-$1.3K
$348 to $8.8K14551%+$23.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays19525%+$21.0K
Golf10715%-$5.6K
NBA7566%+$8
Basketball8486%+$10.3K
NFL6469%-$378
Baseball18100%+$760

Side taken

Yes 65%35% No

If you had copied decimal.llama2626

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1877
Profit
on $16400 staked
78-86
Record
48% win rate
+11%
Return
Profit over time164 settled trades
+$3.3K-$834
Jul 13Oct 12
-$4.2K
Max drawdown
125% below peak
0.4ร—
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.22ร—
Profit factor
$10.5K won vs $8.6K lost
+5.4 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 42ยข avg
Longest losing streak
17
Deepest drawdown
83 trades

By category

other131 settled+15%
sports33 settled-1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
no Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Matthew Stafford: 225+,yes LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points,yes Over 48.5 points
Oct 12
Yes20ยข$316-$316
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20269DA110D4D00-4B2A4F9538E
Oct 12
Sold Nosold 81ยข$1.5KExited
yes Los Angeles D,yes Matthew Stafford: 225+,yes LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 12
Yes21ยข$386-$386
See every position across 195 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will San Antonio vs New York be the matchup in the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Finals?
    $2.0K on Yes at 16ยข, May 19
    +$10.5K
  2. 2
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B1A187E48CD-02F5B804B63
    $1.0K on Yes at 12ยข, Oct 4
    +$7.9K
  3. 3
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026EE0F5E5ED77-E99DEB216F2
    $572 on Yes at 7ยข, Oct 4
    +$7.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will San Antonio vs New York be the matchup in the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Finals?16ยข65100%+$10.5K
yes New York,yes Oklahoma City wins by over 1.5 points,yes Scottie Scheffler10ยข20%-$982
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B1A187E48CD-02F5B804B6312ยข2100%+$7.9K
yes BYU,yes Texas Tech,yes USC,yes Indiana wins by over 27.5 points,yes Miami (FL) wins by over 27.5 points1+$0
yes Dallas,yes San Francisco,yes Cincinnati,yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R,yes MIN Vikings wins by over 9.5 points4ยข20%-$328

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 15Oct 12

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$761
Mar 2026+$282
Apr 2026-$2.4K
May 2026+$7.9K
Jun 2026-$1.5K
Jul 2026-$342
Aug 2026+$9.7K
Sep 2026-$4.5K
Oct 2026+$15.1K

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