Stats as of
defeated.chameleon3095
+$3.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 357
- First Seen
- May 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 25, 2026
- Best In Tennis
- 56% won · 155 settled · +$4.1K
defeated.chameleon3095 is a Kalshi trader with 357 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 120 wins and 116 losses on settled markets, $3.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: A's wins on Sep 25.
- Win rate
- 51%
- Return on settled
- +9%
- Money traded
- $54.2K
- Typical trade
- $41
- Avg entry
- 53¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,925
Profit over time
+$4.7K+$0
May 14Sep 25
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢814%0%-14 pts
20 to 40¢3731%41%+10 pts
40 to 60¢18950%53%+3 pts
60 to 80¢8369%51%-19 pts
Over 80¢4090%60%-30 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $89043%-$33
$8 to $418946%-$187
$41 to $1738958%+$1.6K
$176 to $2.1K8960%+$1.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball10242%+$1.1K
Tennis21056%+$4.1K
Soccer467%-$1.1K
Parlays1350%-$266
WNBA1020%-$655
NFL130%-$233
Side taken
Yes 74%26% No
If you had copied defeated.chameleon3095
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1317
Profit
on $21500 staked
103-112
Record
48% win rate
-6%
Return
10 still open
+$71-$1.3K
Jul 27Sep 21
-$3.3K
Max drawdown
167% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.88×
Profit factor
$9.9K won vs $11.2K lost
-5.2 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 53¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 20
- Deepest drawdown
- 139 trades
By category
other206 settled-6%
sports8 settled-12%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
4 open positions worth $803
The markets defeated.chameleon3095 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
A's wins
Sep 25
A's wins
Sep 25
yes Darwin Blanch,no Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 runs
Sep 24
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.4KMilwaukee wins by over 1.5 runs?$1.1K on No at 45¢, Jul 7
- 2+$1.0KMilwaukee vs St. Louis Winner?$1.1K on Yes at 51¢, Jul 7
- 3+$836Cezar Cretu (b. 2001) wins$943 on Yes at 53¢, Aug 25
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
A's wins57¢20%-$1.1K
St. Louis vs Toronto Winner?55¢60%-$1.2K
Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 runs?45¢2100%+$1.4K
Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner?68¢4100%+$781
Milwaukee vs St. Louis Winner?51¢3100%+$1.0K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 28Sep 25
Profit by month
May 2026+$244
Jun 2026+$337
Jul 2026+$1.6K
Aug 2026+$291
Sep 2026+$456
Kalshi leaderboards
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