rivomarkets

Stats as of

defeated.orangutan0499

+$1.3K
Tracked Trades
215
First Seen
Sep 16, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 7, 2026
Best In Parlays
19% won · 42 settled · +$1.2K

defeated.orangutan0499 is a Kalshi trader with 215 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 27 wins and 135 losses on settled markets, $1.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Oct 7.

Win rate
17%
Return on settled
+35%
Money traded
$11.0K
Typical trade
$14
Avg entry
8¢
Kalshi rank
#3,074

Profit over time

+$1.7K-$738
Sep 17Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢12710%6%-4 pts
20 to 40¢5727%25%-2 pts
40 to 60¢2349%33%-16 pts
60 to 80¢461%100%+39 pts
Over 80¢491%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $3542%-$25
$3 to $145413%-$220
$14 to $415424%+$12
$43 to $2.3K5335%+$1.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays7919%+$1.2K
Tennis13316%+$202
College football10%-$96
Bitcoin20%-$9

Side taken

Yes 89%11% No

If you had copied defeated.orangutan0499

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$5208
Profit
on $16200 staked
27-135
Record
17% win rate
-32%
Return
29 still open
Profit over time162 settled trades
+$0-$5.2K
Sep 14Sep 28
-$5.4K
Max drawdown
3479% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.61×
Profit factor
$8.3K won vs $13.5K lost
-4.1 pts
Edge vs implied
17% won at 21¢ avg
Longest losing streak
36
Deepest drawdown
107 trades

By category

sports161 settled-32%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

26 open positions worth $890

The markets defeated.orangutan0499 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what defeated.orangutan0499 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 7
Sold Nosold 85¢$876Exited
Parlay: San Francisco + Detroit + KC Chiefs wins by over 2.5 points
Oct 5
Sold Nosold 35¢$622Exited
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 1
Sold Nosold 87¢$1.4KExited
See every position across 108 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Juan Pablo Varillas,yes Titouan Droguet
    $47 on Yes at 4¢, Sep 23
    +$1.1K
  2. 2
    yes North Texas,yes New Mexico St.
    $285 on Yes at 28¢, Sep 29
    +$753
  3. 3
    Marat Sharipov wins
    $193 on Yes at 34¢, Sep 30
    +$371
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Tampa Bay,yes Los Angeles D,yes Milwaukee,yes Philadelphia,yes Baltimore,yes Arizona4¢2+$0
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points2+$0
Parlay: San Francisco + Detroit + KC Chiefs wins by over 2.5 points1+$0
no Over 71.5 points scored,no Over 76.5 points scored,no Over 71.5 points scored,no Over 72.5 points scored,no Over 69.5 points scored,no Over 76.5 points scored,no Over 74.5 points scored,no Over 70.5 points scored,no Over 77.5 points scored,no Over 79.5 points scored,no Over 71.5 points scored,no Over 68.5 points scored,no Over 76.5 points scored,no Over 76.5 points scored,no Over 59.5 points scored,no Over 73.5 points scored,no Over 77.5 points scored,no Over 73.5 points scored,no Over 73.5 points scored,no Over 67.5 points scored,no Over 79.5 points scored,no Over 81.5 points scored,no Over 75.5 points scored,no Over 78.5 points scored,no Over 73.5 points scored,no Over 76.5 points scored,no Over 69.5 points scored,no Over 80.5 points scored,no Over 76.5 points scored,no Over 66.5 points scored,no Over 73.5 points scored,no Over 70.5 points scored,no Over 77.5 points scored,no Over 73.5 points scored,no Over 78.5 points scored,no Over 74.5 points scored,no Over 76.5 points scored,no Over 75.5 points scored,no Over 76.5 points scored,no Over 73.5 points scored,no Over 76.5 points scored,no Over 73.5 points scored,no Over 76.5 points scored,no Over 75.5 points scored,no Over 76.5 points scored,no Over 71.5 points scored,no Over 74.5 points scored,no Over 75.5 points scored,no Over 80.5 points scored,no Over 68.5 points,no Over 73.5 points,no Over 61.5 points,no Over 64.5 points,no Over 71.5 points,no Over 66.5 points,no Over 65.5 points,no Over 66.5 points,no Over 65.5 points,no Over 69.5 points,no Over 61.5 points,no Over 64.5 points2¢20%-$19
Jiri Lehecka wins47¢17100%+$215

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 10Oct 7

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.5K
Oct 2026-$153

Kalshi leaderboards

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