Stats as of
discerning.urchin9716
+$1.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 167
- First Seen
- Jun 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 10, 2026
discerning.urchin9716 is a Kalshi trader with 167 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 5 wins and 38 losses on settled markets, $1.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026EAA89091FDE-7E70CDCECB9 on Oct 10.
- Win rate
- 12%
- Return on settled
- +33%
- Money traded
- $20.7K
- Typical trade
- $46
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,781
Profit over time
+$2.8K-$177
Jun 23Oct 9
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1203%7%+4 pts
20 to 40¢825%14%-11 pts
40 to 60¢443%25%-18 pts
60 to 80¢263%0%-62 pts
Over 80¢3396%100%+4 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $20420%-$32
$21 to $46420%-$304
$46 to $934213%-$426
$93 to $2.8K4124%+$2.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays780%-$634
Soccer6138%+$2.3K
Tennis450%+$539
College football60%-$522
Baseball30%-$217
NFL30%-$95
Side taken
Yes 79%21% No
If you had copied discerning.urchin9716
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$894
Profit
on $2500 staked
3-22
Record
12% win rate
-36%
Return
42 still open
+$811-$894
Jul 13Oct 5
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
198% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.59×
Profit factor
$1.3K won vs $2.2K lost
+3.4 pts
Edge vs implied
12% won at 9¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 16
- Deepest drawdown
- 23 trades
By category
sports25 settled-36%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
39 open positions worth $2.3K
The markets discerning.urchin9716 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026EAA89091FDE-7E70CDCECB9
Oct 10
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202666B615287EC-7F193A13ABE
Oct 10
yes Iowa,yes Georgia,yes USC,yes Florida wins by over 7.5 points,yes Texas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 9
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.7KWill England win in Extra Time?$144 on Yes at 8¢, Jul 11
- 2+$1.3KWill Spain win in Extra Time?$127 on Yes at 9¢, Jul 19
- 3+$1.1KBen Shelton wins$773 on Yes at 41¢, Sep 9
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202666B615287EC-7F193A13ABE1+$0
yes Dak Prescott: 1+,yes CeeDee Lamb: 70+,yes George Pickens: 70+,yes Bucky Irving: 10+,yes Kenny Gainwell: 15+2¢20%-$45
yes George Pickens: 1+,yes Bucky Irving: 1+,yes Chris Godwin Jr.: 1+2¢20%-$47
Will England win in Penalty Shootout?7¢150%-$142
Ben Shelton wins32¢450%+$539
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 13Oct 10
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$131
Jul 2026+$2.1K
Aug 2026-$220
Sep 2026-$78
Oct 2026-$341
Kalshi leaderboards
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