Stats as of
drunk.grain
+$1.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 467
- First Seen
- Jun 8, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 12, 2026
- Best In Golf
- 7% won · 44 settled · +$1.2K
drunk.grain is a Kalshi trader with 467 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 59 wins and 107 losses on settled markets, $1.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Justice Hill: 10+ receiving yards on Oct 12.
- Win rate
- 36%
- Return on settled
- +14%
- Money traded
- $53.3K
- Typical trade
- $23
- Avg entry
- 9¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,049
Profit over time
+$1.7K-$1.1K
Feb 12Oct 12
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1466%5%-1 pts
20 to 40¢3527%21%-6 pts
40 to 60¢13950%45%-4 pts
60 to 80¢7168%91%+23 pts
Over 80¢7693%100%+7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $911723%-$88
$9 to $2311736%-$316
$23 to $9511733%+$1.4K
$95 to $6.2K11653%+$770
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays7618%+$243
College basketball8654%-$25
NBA7580%+$1.5K
Golf727%+$1.2K
WNBA5593%+$222
NFL475%-$83
Side taken
Yes 70%30% No
If you had copied drunk.grain
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$275
Profit
on $7800 staked
34-44
Record
44% win rate
+4%
Return
66 still open
+$1.8K-$300
Jul 20Oct 12
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
95% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.06×
Profit factor
$4.7K won vs $4.4K lost
-1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
44% won at 45¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 11
- Deepest drawdown
- 42 trades
By category
sports78 settled+4%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
54 open positions worth $3.8K
The markets drunk.grain is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Justice Hill: 10+ receiving yards
Oct 12, 11 fills
Baltimore wins
Oct 12
Justice Hill: 10+ receiving yards
Oct 12, 10 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.8KWill Michael Thorbjornsen win the Rocket Classic?$86 on Yes at 5¢, Aug 2
- 2+$739Penn at Illinois: Total Points$945 on Yes at 56¢, Mar 20
- 3+$732Game 1: Orlando at Detroit: Spread$971 on Yes at 57¢, Apr 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Chris Godwin Jr.: 1+,no Over 48.5 points2¢2+$0
yes Utah,yes Minnesota,yes Ole Miss wins by over 6.5 points,yes Texas wins by over 6.5 points,yes Oklahoma St. wins by over 9.5 points,no Alabama wins by over 3.5 points,no Pittsburgh wins by over 4.5 points,no Penn St. wins by over 2.5 points,no Over 54.5 points,yes Over 58.5 points,yes Over 53.5 points0¢20%-$9
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026A71D7401B66-574ACF6BBB21+$0
San Antonio vs Minnesota: First Half Total?66¢14+$0
Will UConn win the College Basketball National Championship?7¢50%-$94
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 15Oct 12
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$511
Mar 2026+$37
Apr 2026+$521
May 2026-$612
Jun 2026+$486
Jul 2026-$405
Aug 2026+$1.8K
Sep 2026-$95
Oct 2026+$500
Kalshi leaderboards
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