Stats as of
duende1990
+$712
- Tracked Trades
- 307
- First Seen
- Mar 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 8% won · 39 settled · +$852
duende1990 is a Kalshi trader with 307 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 8 wins and 73 losses on settled markets, $712 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026A5F3ADC59E1-DDBDC3C2BDF on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 10%
- Return on settled
- +33%
- Money traded
- $17.7K
- Typical trade
- $18
- Avg entry
- 3¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,978
Profit over time
+$1.1K-$435
Mar 14Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2485%8%+3 pts
20 to 40¢3727%12%-15 pts
40 to 60¢447%33%-13 pts
60 to 80¢869%0%-69 pts
Over 80¢1090%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $9770%-$194
$9 to $187718%+$428
$18 to $42779%-$435
$43 to $1.6K7633%+$914
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays2528%+$852
Soccer439%-$109
NBA20%-$101
Baseball717%+$6
MMA350%+$63
Side taken
Yes 94%6% No
If you had copied duende1990
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1033
Profit
on $2300 staked
1-22
Record
4% win rate
+45%
Return
108 still open
+$1.4K-$1.7K
Jul 13Oct 12
-$1.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.47×
Profit factor
$3.2K won vs $2.2K lost
-0.0 pts
Edge vs implied
4% won at 4¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 17
- Deepest drawdown
- 17 trades
By category
sports23 settled+45%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
108 open positions worth $1.9K
The markets duende1990 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026A5F3ADC59E1-DDBDC3C2BDF
Oct 13
yes Josh Allen,yes Dalton Kincaid: 1+,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Kyren Williams: 1+,yes Puka Nacua: 1+
Oct 13
yes Dalton Kincaid: 3+,yes Davante Adams: 2+,yes Puka Nacua: 4+,yes Tyler Higbee: 2+,yes Dalton Kincaid: 25+,yes Khalil Shakir: 15+,yes Davante Adams: 25+,yes Puka Nacua: 50+,yes Tyler Higbee: 15+,yes James Cook III: 40+,yes Kyren Williams: 40+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Kyren Williams: 1+,yes Over 48.5 points
Oct 13
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.1Kyes Argentina,yes France,yes Norway,yes Lionel Messi: 1+,yes Kylian Mbappe: 1+,yes Erling Haaland: 1+$92 on Yes at 8¢, Jun 21
- 2+$496yes Argentina,yes France,yes Norway$177 on Yes at 26¢, Jun 22
- 3+$453yes Baltimore,yes Cincinnati,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes New England,yes Minnesota,yes Over 34.5 points$14 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Christian McCaffrey: 2+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Ja'Marr Chase: 1+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 1+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+1¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026A5F3ADC59E1-DDBDC3C2BDF1+$0
yes Liverpool,yes Espanyol,yes America,yes Pumas UNAM,yes Santos Laguna2¢2+$0
yes Norway advances,yes Mexico advances,yes Erling Haaland: 1+,yes Julian Quinones: 1+,yes Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored4¢2+$0
yes San Francisco,yes Baltimore,yes Los Angeles R,yes Las Vegas,yes Philadelphia,yes Matthew Stafford: 200+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 50+,yes Derrick Henry: 70+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 1+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Davante Adams: 1+1¢2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$30
Apr 2026-$178
May 2026-$73
Jun 2026+$1.3K
Jul 2026-$550
Aug 2026-$81
Sep 2026-$94
Oct 2026+$373
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies duende1990.
Bring duende1990 into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.