rivomarkets

Stats as of

established.groundhog9384

-$308
Tracked Trades
698
First Seen
Jul 9, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 7, 2026
Best In Parlays
44% won · 115 settled · +$263

established.groundhog9384 is a Kalshi trader with 698 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 182 wins and 199 losses on settled markets, -$308 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264891803C87A-6D779F9A83F on Oct 7.

Win rate
48%
Return on settled
+-0%
Money traded
$142.3K
Typical trade
$34
Avg entry
48¢
Kalshi rank
#4,768

Profit over time

+$3.7K-$2.8K
Jul 9Oct 6

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1398%7%-1 pts
20 to 40¢10629%15%-15 pts
40 to 60¢12051%39%-12 pts
60 to 80¢22669%55%-14 pts
Over 80¢10786%90%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $617538%+$27
$6 to $3417546%-$248
$35 to $17517444%-$2.1K
$176 to $5.1K17462%+$2.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays27744%+$263
Tennis38751%-$369
Baseball1033%-$382
Soccer1918%+$118
College football3100%+$94
NFL250%-$31

Side taken

Yes 69%31% No

If you had copied established.groundhog9384

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$6306
Profit
on $36300 staked
179-184
Record
49% win rate
-17%
Return
66 still open
Profit over time363 settled trades
+$0-$6.3K
Sep 7Oct 5
-$8.9K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.66×
Profit factor
$12.1K won vs $18.4K lost
-9.0 pts
Edge vs implied
49% won at 58¢ avg
Longest losing streak
26
Deepest drawdown
313 trades

By category

other19 settled+5%
sports344 settled-19%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

64 open positions worth $5.3K

The markets established.groundhog9384 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what established.groundhog9384 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264891803C87A-6D779F9A83F
Oct 7
Sold Nosold 91¢$947Exited
Parlay: Miguel Damas + Jonas Forejtek + Yibing Wu + Aleksa Ciric + John Sperle + Fiona Crawley + Qinwen Zheng
Oct 7
Sold Nosold 78¢$808Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20260AE2C3CC81E-9159A0A2A87
Oct 6
Yes64¢$2.4K-$2.4K
See every position across 226 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Jaume Munar wins
    $961 on Yes at 29¢, Oct 1
    +$2.4K
  2. 2
    yes Chicago WS,yes New York Y,yes Atlanta
    $1.1K on Yes at 37¢, Sep 30
    +$1.9K
  3. 3
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20260C79339C5AB-E1E8FE20F16
    $698 on Yes at 33¢, Oct 1
    +$1.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Marcelo Melo / Alexander Zverev,yes Daniil Medvedev,yes Aleshchev / Dolzhenkov,yes Digvijay Pratap Singh,yes Yi Chen / Luo,yes Karolina Muchova,yes Daria Snigur56¢20%-$141
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20262DB0D050989-443858E822B63¢20%-$1.1K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20261C76B3B73EF-17566897E0769¢20%-$1.5K
Jack Loge wins76¢290%-$1.5K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202685D795071DE-19D4282667665¢20%-$1.5K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 10Oct 7

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$870
Sep 2026+$2.5K
Oct 2026-$1.9K

Kalshi leaderboards

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