Stats as of
fair.cliff
+$527
- Tracked Trades
- 225
- First Seen
- Oct 21, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 14, 2026
fair.cliff is a Kalshi trader with 225 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 33 wins and 103 losses on settled markets, $527 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: River Plate wins by more than 1.5 goals? on Oct 14.
- Win rate
- 24%
- Return on settled
- +8%
- Money traded
- $11.4K
- Typical trade
- $23
- Avg entry
- 19¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,660
Profit over time
+$1.0K-$1.4K
Oct 21Oct 14
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢8411%3%-8 pts
20 to 40¢10428%14%-13 pts
40 to 60¢3548%68%+20 pts
60 to 80¢271%100%+29 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5578%-$33
$5 to $235623%-$297
$23 to $835633%-$334
$88 to $1.1K5634%+$1.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer19722%+$18
Parlays620%+$932
NFL850%-$207
NBA1150%-$178
Hockey30%-$38
Side taken
Yes 97%3% No
If you had copied fair.cliff
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1481
Profit
on $8600 staked
26-60
Record
30% win rate
-17%
Return
+$837-$2.9K
Sep 7Oct 12
-$4.0K
Max drawdown
354% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.75×
Profit factor
$4.5K won vs $6.0K lost
-4.1 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 34¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 40
- Deepest drawdown
- 58 trades
By category
sports86 settled-17%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
River Plate wins by more than 1.5 goals?
Oct 14, 2 fills
yes Cincinnati,yes Columbus,yes Miami
Oct 14, 2 fills
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FE3EDD1B848-DFCE177CB78
Oct 14
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.3Kyes PSG,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid$94 on Yes at 7¢, Oct 14
- 2+$972Oviedo vs Girona Winner?$381 on Yes at 28¢, Jan 31
- 3+$635SL Benfica vs Real Madrid Winner?$190 on Yes at 23¢, Jan 28
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FE3EDD1B848-DFCE177CB781+$0
Oviedo vs Girona Winner?28¢2100%+$972
Kiel vs Stuttgart Winner?15¢6+$0
Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals?38¢367%+$91
Milan vs Roma Winner?27¢5+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 17Oct 14
Profit by month
Oct 2025+$144
Nov 2025-$372
Jan 2026+$1.0K
Feb 2026-$1.1K
Jun 2026-$288
Jul 2026-$144
Sep 2026-$600
Oct 2026+$1.9K
Kalshi leaderboards
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