rivomarkets

Stats as of

fog.wagemarc

-$174
Tracked Trades
398
First Seen
May 12, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 15, 2026
Best In Parlays
13% won · 15 settled · +$899

fog.wagemarc is a Kalshi trader with 398 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 18 wins and 55 losses on settled markets, -$174 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Atalanta,yes Brighton,yes Monaco,yes Gent,yes Trabzonspor,yes Freiburg,yes Alkmaar,yes SL Benfica,yes Bournemouth,yes Leverkusen,yes Milan,yes Stade Rennais,yes Sunderland,yes Hoffenheim,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored on Oct 15.

Win rate
25%
Return on settled
-9%
Money traded
$17.2K
Typical trade
$10
Avg entry
3¢
Kalshi rank
#3,606

Profit over time

+$279-$501
May 12Oct 15

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1673%4%+1 pts
20 to 40¢9829%12%-17 pts
40 to 60¢6948%92%+44 pts
60 to 80¢3070%33%-37 pts
Over 80¢3494%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $510013%-$58
$5 to $101008%-$47
$10 to $279940%-$20
$27 to $3.8K9967%-$48

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays1637%-$19
Soccer21325%-$248
NBA1957%+$103
Tennis30%-$10

Side taken

Yes 72%28% No

If you had copied fog.wagemarc

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1509
Profit
on $3500 staked
8-27
Record
23% win rate
-43%
Return
105 still open
Profit over time35 settled trades
+$0-$1.8K
Jul 13Oct 12
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.44×
Profit factor
$1.2K won vs $2.7K lost
+3.7 pts
Edge vs implied
23% won at 19¢ avg
Longest losing streak
15
Deepest drawdown
25 trades

By category

sports35 settled-43%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

105 open positions worth $2.2K

The markets fog.wagemarc is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what fog.wagemarc is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Atalanta,yes Brighton,yes Monaco,yes Gent,yes Trabzonspor,yes Freiburg,yes Alkmaar,yes SL Benfica,yes Bournemouth,yes Leverkusen,yes Milan,yes Stade Rennais,yes Sunderland,yes Hoffenheim,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Oct 15
Yes0¢$5-$5
yes Brighton,yes Monaco,yes Gent,yes Trabzonspor,yes Freiburg,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Alkmaar,yes SL Benfica,yes Bournemouth,yes Milan,yes Stade Rennais,yes Sunderland,yes Hoffenheim,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Oct 15
Yes0¢$5-$5
yes Over 0.5 1H goals scored,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Philadelphia,no Saint Louis,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Oct 15
Yes2¢$5-$5
See every position across 204 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will over 1.5 goals be scored?
    $482 on Yes at 57¢, Sep 16
    +$367
  2. 2
    USA: 6+ corners
    $193 on Yes at 50¢, Jun 19
    +$193
  3. 3
    Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner?
    $67 on Yes at 48¢, Jun 4
    +$73
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Bayern Munich,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Bodoe/Glimt,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid: 6+,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Tie,no Tie,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Nashville,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Como,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Galatasaray1¢2+$0
Egypt vs IR Iran Winner?39¢20%-$470
yes Corinthians,yes Flamengo,yes Palmeiras,yes Manchester United,yes Malaga: 3+,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Stade Rennais,yes Inter,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored1¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S202608405437F8D-5FEC7E354A91+$0
9+ corners?32¢300%-$91

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 18Oct 15

Profit by month

May 2026-$70
Jun 2026-$293
Jul 2026-$114
Aug 2026-$19
Sep 2026+$307
Oct 2026+$15

Kalshi leaderboards

Similar Kalshi traders

Build a bot that copies fog.wagemarc.

Bring fog.wagemarc into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.