Stats as of
fuel.cost
+$270
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Aug 1, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 6, 2026
- Best In Ethereum
- 60% won · 57 settled · +$985
fuel.cost is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 232 wins and 350 losses on settled markets, $270 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20262BD29D5E9A8-8E21D0E4961 on Oct 6.
- Win rate
- 40%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $23.3K
- Typical trade
- $4
- Avg entry
- 34¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,412
Profit over time
+$1.5K-$1.3K
Aug 1Oct 6
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3589%12%+3 pts
20 to 40¢19630%31%+1 pts
40 to 60¢11450%49%-1 pts
60 to 80¢14168%61%-7 pts
Over 80¢19192%81%-10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $025019%-$6
$0 to $425030%-$49
$4 to $1625055%+$245
$16 to $1.1K25053%+$80
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin23124%-$329
Other crypto26050%+$203
Solana27127%-$629
Ethereum14255%+$934
Parlays1017%-$555
Soccer3671%+$357
Side taken
Yes 52%48% No
If you had copied fuel.cost
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$6369
Profit
on $58200 staked
232-350
Record
40% win rate
-11%
Return
41 still open
+$0-$15.7K
Jul 27Oct 5
-$16.3K
Max drawdown
4200% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.82×
Profit factor
$28.6K won vs $35.0K lost
-2.1 pts
Edge vs implied
40% won at 42¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 41
- Deepest drawdown
- 311 trades
By category
crypto541 settled-9%
sports33 settled-15%
finance7 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
15 open positions worth $853
The markets fuel.cost is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20262BD29D5E9A8-8E21D0E4961
Oct 6
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20262BD29D5E9A8-8E21D0E4961
Oct 6
SOL price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 6, 8 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.1KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$566 on Yes at 35¢, Oct 5
- 2+$1.1KZEC price up in next 15 mins?$273 on No at 21¢, Oct 6
- 3+$564ETH price up in next 15 mins?$287 on Yes at 34¢, Oct 5
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?52¢22524%-$329
SOL price up in next 15 mins?39¢27127%-$629
ETH price up in next 15 mins?45¢12652%+$873
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20262BD29D5E9A8-8E21D0E496127¢20%-$533
ZEC price up in next 15 mins?34¢10863%+$736
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 9Oct 6
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$258
Sep 2026-$783
Oct 2026+$1.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
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