Stats as of
full.pen
-$2.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 988
- First Seen
- Dec 3, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 37% won · 98 settled · +$8.0K
full.pen is a Kalshi trader with 988 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 136 wins and 609 losses on settled markets, -$2.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Republicans win the House in 2026? on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 18%
- Return on settled
- -5%
- Money traded
- $89.1K
- Typical trade
- $25
- Avg entry
- 12¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,267
Profit over time
+$905-$7.3K
Dec 3Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4958%3%-5 pts
20 to 40¢26229%31%+1 pts
40 to 60¢11050%31%-19 pts
60 to 80¢6269%94%+25 pts
Over 80¢5991%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $624711%-$288
$6 to $2524713%-$1.7K
$25 to $9324716%-$5.5K
$93 to $2.2K24736%+$4.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL18336%+$6.6K
Soccer14310%-$1.6K
US elections33215%-$3.7K
Parlays626%-$4.3K
NBA8164%+$7.4K
US politics1040%-$4.8K
Side taken
Yes 82%18% No
If you had copied full.pen
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$11411
Profit
on $22000 staked
39-181
Record
18% win rate
-52%
Return
80 still open
+$0-$11.7K
Jul 13Oct 12
-$11.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.37×
Profit factor
$6.7K won vs $18.1K lost
-9.6 pts
Edge vs implied
18% won at 27¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 86
- Deepest drawdown
- 144 trades
By category
sports118 settled-16%
politics100 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
12 open positions worth $7.1K
The markets full.pen is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Minnesota be the last undefeated team in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?
Oct 13, 5 fills
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Michigan?
Oct 13, 3 fills
Los Angeles R wins
Oct 13, 4 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.5KBaltimore wins$3.4K on Yes at 38¢, Oct 12
- 2+$5.1KEngland vs Argentina: To Advance$2.1K on Yes at 30¢, Jul 15
- 3+$3.9KGame 4: San Antonio at New York Winner?$1.7K on Yes at 30¢, Jun 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
England vs Argentina: To Advance30¢29100%+$5.1K
Denver wins30¢5155%+$3.4K
Baltimore wins42¢22100%+$6.2K
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?20¢1000%-$4.7K
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?13¢19+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$2.0K
Jan 2026-$373
Feb 2026-$33
Jun 2026+$1.4K
Jul 2026-$1.7K
Sep 2026-$1.2K
Oct 2026+$1.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
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