Stats as of
gavinbelson
+$23
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Aug 5, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Best In Commodities
- 98% won · 225 settled · +$23
gavinbelson is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 394 wins and 20 losses on settled markets, $23 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Sep 29, 2026? on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 95%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $4.2K
- Typical trade
- $1
- Avg entry
- 95¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,436
Profit over time
+$35+$0
Aug 5Sep 28
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1032%9%+7 pts
60 to 80¢165%0%-65 pts
Over 80¢89697%98%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125087%+$2
$1 to $125099%+$1
$1 to $525095%-$4
$5 to $3025099%+$25
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Commodities31198%+$23
Solana14897%-$8
Ethereum9296%+$11
Bitcoin1891%+$4
Weather198+$0
Baseball2775%-$3
Side taken
Yes 47%53% No
If you had copied gavinbelson
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$230
Profit
on $41400 staked
394-20
Record
95% win rate
+1%
Return
+$796-$221
Aug 3Sep 28
-$713
Max drawdown
77% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.11×
Profit factor
$2.2K won vs $2.0K lost
+0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
95% won at 94¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 2
- Deepest drawdown
- 309 trades
By category
sports69 settled+5%
finance247 settled+0%
crypto98 settled-2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Sep 29, 2026?
Sep 29
Will the maximum temperature be 78-79° on Sep 28, 2026?
Sep 29
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Sep 28, 2026?
Sep 28
Biggest wins
- 1+$1Will Alexander Blockx win the Blockx vs Cobolli: Round Of 32 match?$0 on No at 9¢, Aug 17
- 2+$1Ethereum price at Aug 19, 2026 at 6pm EDT?$29 on Yes at 97¢, Aug 19
- 3+$1ETH price up in next 15 mins?$44 on Yes at 98¢, Aug 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
SOL price up in next 15 mins?98¢127100%+$4
ETH price up in next 15 mins?98¢66100%+$6
Bitcoin price on Aug 21, 2026?99¢5100%+$1
BTC price up in next 15 mins?98¢8100%+$1
Ethereum price at Aug 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?99¢2100%+$1
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$22
Sep 2026+$1
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
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