rivomarkets

Stats as of

hardytom540

+$3.0K
Tracked Trades
184
First Seen
Sep 25, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 21, 2026
Best In Entertainment
22% won · 72 settled · +$3.0K

hardytom540 is a Kalshi trader with 184 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 16 wins and 57 losses on settled markets, $3.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXOSCARANIMATED-27-WIL on Sep 21.

Win rate
22%
Return on settled
+31%
Money traded
$30.7K
Typical trade
$33
Avg entry
48¢
Kalshi rank
#1,914

Profit over time

+$3.0K-$1.6K
Sep 25Mar 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢414%0%-14 pts
20 to 40¢2032%
40 to 60¢6646%29%-18 pts
60 to 80¢6475%0%-75 pts
Over 80¢3083%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $8465%-$49
$8 to $334610%-$276
$33 to $1584620%-$671
$160 to $5.1K4659%+$4.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Entertainment18322%+$3.0K
NFL10%-$5

Side taken

Yes 57%43% No

If you had copied hardytom540

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

No trade from the last 90 days has resolved yet. 1 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $3.0K

The markets hardytom540 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what hardytom540 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
How many awards will Sinners win at the Oscars?
Mar 11, 3 fills
Sold Nosold 78¢$574Exited
How many awards will Sinners win at the Oscars?
Mar 3, 16 fills
Sold Nosold 86¢$2.5KExited
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
Mar 2
Yes41¢$2.2K+$3.2K
See every position across 15 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the Oscars?
    $3.3K on Yes at 48¢, Feb 14
    +$3.6K
  2. 2
    Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
    $2.2K on Yes at 41¢, Mar 2
    +$3.2K
  3. 3
    Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the Oscars?
    $306 on Yes at 53¢, Sep 25
    +$272
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the Oscars?48¢24100%+$3.6K
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?52¢790%-$3.0K
How many awards will Sinners win at the Oscars?47¢33+$0
KXOSCARANIMATED-27-WIL65¢1+$0
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?41¢1100%+$3.2K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 24Sep 21

Profit by month

Sep 2025+$272
Jan 2026-$911
Feb 2026+$471
Mar 2026+$3.2K

Kalshi leaderboards

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