Stats as of
ill.base
+$3.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Jul 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 15, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 18% won · 62 settled · +$2.3K
ill.base is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 145 wins and 261 losses on settled markets, $3.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Tie is the result on Oct 15.
- Win rate
- 36%
- Return on settled
- +15%
- Money traded
- $83.8K
- Typical trade
- $46
- Avg entry
- 10¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,580
Profit over time
+$4.6K-$922
Jul 11Oct 15
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3309%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢32230%26%-4 pts
40 to 60¢19849%54%+6 pts
60 to 80¢6066%96%+30 pts
Over 80¢9097%100%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1125031%-$127
$11 to $4525035%-$162
$46 to $8825034%-$1.1K
$88 to $1.9K25045%+$5.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer47441%+$1.4K
Parlays33118%+$2.3K
Esports19535%+$179
Side taken
Yes 95%5% No
If you had copied ill.base
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$189
Profit
on $40000 staked
145-255
Record
36% win rate
-0%
Return
489 still open
+$5.1K-$915
Jul 13Oct 12
-$6.7K
Max drawdown
122% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.99×
Profit factor
$25.3K won vs $25.5K lost
+1.2 pts
Edge vs implied
36% won at 35¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 30
- Deepest drawdown
- 175 trades
By category
sports397 settled-1%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
305 open positions worth $23.5K
The markets ill.base is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Tie is the result
Oct 15, 2 fills
yes Tie,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles F wins by more than 2.5 goals
Oct 15
yes Tie,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles F wins by more than 1.5 goals
Oct 15
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.0Kyes Colorado wins 1st Half,no Over 1.5 1H goals scored,yes Dallas,yes Philadelphia wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Over 3.5 goals scored$94 on Yes at 4¢, Oct 15
- 2+$1.6KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026494C2C7C8E3-6D06E088200$656 on Yes at 29¢, Sep 8
- 3+$1.3Kyes Tie 1st Half,yes Tie 1st Half,yes Tie 1st Half,yes Stuttgart wins 1st Half,yes Aston Villa wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals,yes PSG wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals$476 on Yes at 27¢, Oct 14
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Tie 1st Half46¢8477%+$1.7K
Tie is the result62¢1220%+$49
G2 wins map 247¢19100%+$1.0K
no Both Teams To Score,yes Dortmund,yes Espanyol,no Both Teams To Score,yes Lens7¢3+$0
yes Germany,yes Netherlands,yes Portugal,yes Denmark9¢2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 18Oct 15
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$449
Aug 2026+$489
Sep 2026+$2.9K
Oct 2026+$954
Kalshi leaderboards
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