rivomarkets

Stats as of

innercircle

+$1.5K
Tracked Trades
362
First Seen
Jan 8, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 12, 2026
Best In NFL
55% won · 29 settled · +$2.3K

innercircle is a Kalshi trader with 362 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 53 wins and 90 losses on settled markets, $1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs? on Oct 12.

Win rate
37%
Return on settled
+9%
Money traded
$37.2K
Typical trade
$37
Avg entry
36¢
Kalshi rank
#2,407

Profit over time

+$2.2K-$1.5K
Jan 8Oct 11

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6810%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢6329%24%-5 pts
40 to 60¢17449%45%-4 pts
60 to 80¢3269%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢2588%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $79129%-$17
$8 to $389137%-$149
$38 to $1269036%-$707
$132 to $1.3K9045%+$2.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL4255%+$2.3K
College football4538%+$981
College basketball458%-$1.1K
Parlays1917%+$268
Baseball640%-$192
Soccer2457%+$48

Side taken

Yes 56%44% No

If you had copied innercircle

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1535
Profit
on $8200 staked
32-50
Record
39% win rate
-19%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time82 settled trades
+$0-$1.5K
Sep 14Oct 5
-$2.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.69×
Profit factor
$3.5K won vs $5.0K lost
-0.2 pts
Edge vs implied
39% won at 39¢ avg
Longest losing streak
17
Deepest drawdown
39 trades

By category

sports68 settled-16%
crypto13 settled-46%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $284

The markets innercircle is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what innercircle is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs?
Oct 12
Sold Nosold 72¢$525Exited
ATL Falcons wins by over 3.5 points?
Oct 12
Sold Nosold 62¢$623Exited
Seattle wins
Oct 11
Sold Nosold 40¢$754Exited
See every position across 91 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265195D82ED02-1AEF7A98B4B
    $563 on Yes at 35¢, Oct 8
    +$1.1K
  2. 2
    New England wins by over 3.5 points?
    $840 on Yes at 51¢, Jan 12
    +$819
  3. 3
    Missouri wins by over 3.5 points
    $705 on Yes at 52¢, Oct 10
    +$651
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Liverpool vs Barnsley Winner?3¢3+$0
Louisville at Miami (FL) Winner?12¢110%-$185
Tennessee wins13¢30%-$189
Will Barron Trump attend the 2026 State of the Union Address?56¢18100%+$596
BTC price up in next 15 mins?29¢2323%+$158

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 15Oct 12

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$414
Feb 2026-$510
Sep 2026-$393
Oct 2026+$2.8K

Kalshi leaderboards

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