Stats as of
joe.paw
-$3.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 242
- First Seen
- Jan 17, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 4, 2026
- Best In College football
- 19% won · 32 settled · +$1.9K
joe.paw is a Kalshi trader with 242 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 40 wins and 78 losses on settled markets, -$3.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: USC wins on Oct 4.
- Win rate
- 34%
- Return on settled
- -16%
- Money traded
- $26.5K
- Typical trade
- $17
- Avg entry
- 35¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,605
Profit over time
+$567-$5.4K
Jan 17Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢636%0%-6 pts
20 to 40¢6330%5%-25 pts
40 to 60¢6049%75%+26 pts
60 to 80¢4568%69%+1 pts
Over 80¢1185%100%+15 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4617%-$7
$4 to $176154%-$19
$18 to $966016%-$1.0K
$97 to $1.9K6043%-$2.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
College football4019%+$1.9K
NBA2761%+$87
Soccer70%-$1.4K
NFL620%-$2.2K
Bitcoin1020%-$700
MMA1029%-$530
Side taken
Yes 74%26% No
If you had copied joe.paw
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$2570
Profit
on $5900 staked
19-40
Record
32% win rate
-44%
Return
+$0-$2.6K
Jul 20Sep 28
-$2.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.36×
Profit factor
$1.4K won vs $4.0K lost
-5.1 pts
Edge vs implied
32% won at 37¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 20
- Deepest drawdown
- 56 trades
By category
culture11 settled+73%
sports37 settled-61%
crypto10 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
USC wins
Oct 4, 2 fills
BYU wins
Oct 4
California wins
Oct 3, 20 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.3KBYU wins$1.9K on Yes at 60¢, Oct 4
- 2+$864USC wins$2.3K on Yes at 73¢, Oct 4
- 3+$566Pittsburgh wins$482 on Yes at 46¢, Oct 2
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Norway vs England: To Advance33¢30%-$1.4K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?24¢1020%-$700
USC wins73¢2100%+$864
BYU wins60¢1100%+$1.3K
Will the New England win the 2026 Pro Football Championship?29¢20%-$1.2K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 7Oct 4
Profit by month
Jan 2026+$280
Feb 2026-$811
Apr 2026-$1.0K
Jul 2026-$2.7K
Sep 2026-$818
Oct 2026+$1.8K
Kalshi leaderboards
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