rivomarkets

Stats as of

key.leg

-$8.7K
Tracked Trades
939
First Seen
Dec 27, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 14, 2026
Best In Commodities
98% won · 42 settled · +$1.0K

key.leg is a Kalshi trader with 939 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 143 wins and 114 losses on settled markets, -$8.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Natural Gas price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 14.

Win rate
56%
Return on settled
-19%
Money traded
$155.2K
Typical trade
$59
Avg entry
41¢
Kalshi rank
#5,593

Profit over time

+$571-$15.0K
Dec 27Oct 14

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6714%
20 to 40¢7130%44%+15 pts
40 to 60¢37651%44%-7 pts
60 to 80¢39767%71%+4 pts
Over 80¢2882%20%-62 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1323553%-$69
$13 to $5923546%-$551
$59 to $23123571%+$2.7K
$231 to $4.0K23449%-$10.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays155100%+$2.9K
Tennis14624%-$8.4K
College basketball14557%-$2.0K
Other crypto171+$0
NBA2460%+$250
Bitcoin6386%+$1.5K

Side taken

Yes 87%13% No

If you had copied key.leg

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$556
Profit
on $8600 staked
55-31
Record
64% win rate
+6%
Return
44 still open
Profit over time86 settled trades
+$556-$3.0K
Jul 13Oct 12
-$3.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.18×
Profit factor
$3.7K won vs $3.1K lost
+6.9 pts
Edge vs implied
64% won at 57¢ avg
Longest losing streak
30
Deepest drawdown
30 trades

By category

finance42 settled+66%
crypto18 settled-3%
sports24 settled-100%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

39 open positions worth $13.3K

The markets key.leg is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what key.leg is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Natural Gas price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 14
Yes59¢$1.3K-$1.3K
Natural Gas price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 14, 17 fills
Yes58¢$1.4K+$1.1K
Natural Gas price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 14, 12 fills
No61¢$1.1K+$683
See every position across 318 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026C4A94EEA0CD-DA82EA2C690
    $1.1K on Yes at 41¢, Aug 29
    +$1.5K
  2. 2
    Natural Gas price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.4K on Yes at 58¢, Oct 14
    +$1.1K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $2.0K on Yes at 66¢, Jul 16
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
DOGE price up in next 15 mins?64¢103+$0
Natural Gas price up in next 15 mins?61¢4298%+$1.0K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?57¢3080%+$1.3K
Buffalo at Denver Winner?65¢10%-$4.0K
BC Olympiakos Piraeus at Dubai Basketball Winner?78¢14+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 17Oct 14

Profit by month

Dec 2025+$110
Jan 2026-$13.1K
Feb 2026-$1.3K
Mar 2026-$35
Jun 2026+$859
Jul 2026+$1.3K
Aug 2026+$2.1K
Oct 2026+$1.3K

Kalshi leaderboards

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