Stats as of
lemugg
+$6.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 893
- First Seen
- Oct 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 15, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 48% won · 434 settled · +$7.1K
lemugg is a Kalshi trader with 893 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 263 wins and 352 losses on settled markets, $6.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 15.
- Win rate
- 43%
- Return on settled
- +9%
- Money traded
- $79.1K
- Typical trade
- $10
- Avg entry
- 28¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,421
Profit over time
+$8.1K-$10
Oct 13Oct 15
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3259%1%-9 pts
20 to 40¢19426%6%-20 pts
40 to 60¢15350%58%+8 pts
60 to 80¢15767%78%+11 pts
Over 80¢6487%98%+11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $122425%-$31
$1 to $1022333%-$303
$10 to $6222341%-$419
$63 to $1.8K22365%+$7.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin67248%+$9.0K
Commodities6744%+$427
Ethereum10834%-$728
Parlays1315%-$1.9K
XRP324%-$605
Esports10%-$1
Side taken
Yes 67%33% No
If you had copied lemugg
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$19100
Profit
on $61500 staked
263-352
Record
43% win rate
-31%
Return
-$24.9K
Max drawdown
882% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.46×
Profit factor
$16.1K won vs $35.2K lost
+0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
43% won at 42¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 155
- Deepest drawdown
- 373 trades
By category
finance57 settled-13%
other11 settled-27%
crypto535 settled-32%
sports12 settled-73%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 15, 4 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 15, 2 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 15, 3 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.6KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$6.8K on Yes at 59¢, Oct 13
- 2+$3.8KBitcoin price on Oct 13, 2026?$6.8K on Yes at 64¢, Oct 13
- 3+$1.4KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$5.3K on Yes at 79¢, Oct 15
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?41¢45539%+$5.5K
Bitcoin price on Oct 14, 2026?71¢9853%+$497
Bitcoin price on Oct 13, 2026?62¢9675%+$3.7K
Gold price up in next 15 mins?36¢5226%-$17
ETH price up in next 15 mins?18¢10734%-$718
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 18Oct 15
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$6.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
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