rivomarkets

Stats as of

Kalshi

Liam.Murphy

liam.murphy

+$944
Tracked Trades
1,008
First Seen
Apr 7, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 10, 2026
Followers
6
Best In Baseball
51% won · 96 settled · +$2.0K

Liam.Murphy is a Kalshi trader with 1,008 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 113 wins and 170 losses on settled markets, $944 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes LSU,yes Ole Miss,yes Alabama,yes USC,no Texas wins by over 7.5 points on Oct 10.

Win rate
40%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$87.0K
Typical trade
$48
Avg entry
21¢
Kalshi rank
#3,291

Profit over time

+$2.6K-$1.0K
Apr 7Oct 9

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2419%16%+6 pts
20 to 40¢32929%34%+4 pts
40 to 60¢30347%52%+5 pts
60 to 80¢8570%50%-20 pts
Over 80¢5089%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1625221%-$41
$16 to $4825242%+$1.1K
$48 to $9725246%+$845
$97 to $2.7K25242%-$967

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays26328%-$16
Baseball30051%+$2.0K
College football14333%-$242
NBA5432%-$739
NFL3645%+$435
Soccer7042%-$312

Side taken

Yes 66%34% No

If you had copied Liam.Murphy

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2367
Profit
on $23900 staked
101-138
Record
42% win rate
+10%
Return
274 still open
Profit over time239 settled trades
+$3.9K+$0
Jul 13Oct 5
-$2.4K
Max drawdown
72% below peak
1.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.17×
Profit factor
$16.2K won vs $13.8K lost
+5.2 pts
Edge vs implied
42% won at 37¢ avg
Longest losing streak
24
Deepest drawdown
26 trades

By category

sports239 settled+10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

188 open positions worth $20.6K

The markets Liam.Murphy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Liam.Murphy is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Louisville,yes Washington,yes BYU
Oct 10
Sold Nosold 73¢$496Exited
Dallas wins
Oct 9
Yes21¢$95-$95
Parlay: George Pickens: 1+ + Javonte Williams: 1+ + Bucky Irving: 1+
Oct 9
Sold Nosold 70¢$754Exited
See every position across 421 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Ole Miss win the LSU vs Ole Miss college football game?
    $570 on Yes at 43¢, Sep 19
    +$751
  2. 2
    yes Kansas City,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+
    $281 on Yes at 32¢, Sep 14
    +$596
  3. 3
    Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game: Minnesota wins?
    $232 on Yes at 28¢, Sep 13
    +$590
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points3+$0
yes Cam Skattebo: 1+,yes Carnell Tate: 1+,yes Tony Pollard: 1+3¢2+$0
Boston wins34¢1873%+$847
Cincinnati wins40¢16100%+$1.3K
yes Pittsburgh,yes Boston,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,no Atlanta wins by over 16.5 points11¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 13Oct 10

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$281
May 2026-$433
Jun 2026+$454
Jul 2026-$344
Aug 2026+$1.9K
Sep 2026+$165
Oct 2026-$478

Similar Kalshi traders

Build a bot that copies Liam.Murphy.

Bring Liam.Murphy into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.

Build this botHow copying works