rivomarkets

Stats as of

lobbersnails

+$699
Tracked Trades
228
First Seen
Jan 3, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 9, 2026
Best In US elections
64% won · 25 settled · +$720

lobbersnails is a Kalshi trader with 228 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 25 wins and 30 losses on settled markets, $699 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? on Oct 9.

Win rate
45%
Return on settled
+108%
Money traded
$7.1K
Typical trade
$6
Avg entry
36¢
Kalshi rank
#3,718

Profit over time

+$713-$53
Jan 3Aug 10

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7712%27%+15 pts
20 to 40¢5327%58%+31 pts
40 to 60¢3749%86%+37 pts
60 to 80¢3767%0%-67 pts
Over 80¢2492%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $25729%+$3
$2 to $65745%+$58
$6 to $175741%+$56
$18 to $1.9K5769%+$582

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections12164%+$720
Soccer750%+$26
World politics150%-$27
Entertainment1856%+$75
US politics3250%-$3
Mentions1733%-$14

Side taken

Yes 82%18% No

If you had copied lobbersnails

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$321
Profit
on $700 staked
3-4
Record
43% win rate
+46%
Return
34 still open
Profit over time7 settled trades
+$321+$0
Jul 27Oct 5

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 7 so far.

By category

politics7 settled+46%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

9 open positions worth $3.9K

The markets lobbersnails is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what lobbersnails is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?
Oct 8, 4 fills
Yes7¢sold 21¢$5-$5
Will the Democratic Party hold 49 seats in the 120th Congress?
Sep 18, 3 fills
Sold Nosold 91¢$20Exited
Will Francesca Hong receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary?
Aug 10
Yes64¢$14-$14
See every position across 106 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Phil Weiser be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Colorado?
    $256 on Yes at 27¢, May 22
    +$679
  2. 2
    Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%?
    $19 on Yes at 18¢, Jul 27
    +$86
  3. 3
    Brazil vs Norway Winner?
    $19 on Yes at 19¢, Jul 5
    +$81
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?61¢15+$0
Espanyol vs Barcelona Winner?9¢40%-$54
Will Melat Kiros receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary?32¢6+$0
Will Phil Weiser be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Colorado?27¢11100%+$679
Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?21¢4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 12Oct 9

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$39
Feb 2026+$33
Mar 2026+$570
May 2026+$18
Jun 2026-$21
Jul 2026+$145
Aug 2026-$8

Kalshi leaderboards

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