Stats as of
lonely.loon4900
+$6.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 192
- First Seen
- Mar 9, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 69% won · 16 settled · +$4.5K
lonely.loon4900 is a Kalshi trader with 192 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 76 wins and 75 losses on settled markets, $6.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Los Angeles R wins on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 50%
- Return on settled
- +44%
- Money traded
- $15.3K
- Typical trade
- $11
- Avg entry
- 40¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,031
Profit over time
+$6.8K-$1.1K
Mar 9Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢478%16%+8 pts
20 to 40¢3733%33%+1 pts
40 to 60¢8448%59%+10 pts
60 to 80¢1871%73%+2 pts
Over 80¢687%100%+13 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $34860%+$14
$4 to $114841%+$54
$12 to $434855%-$22
$44 to $2.5K4849%+$6.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL2269%+$4.5K
Parlays10243%-$667
College football9100%+$2.5K
Golf30%-$240
Tennis1764%-$66
WNBA1767%+$21
Side taken
Yes 70%30% No
If you had copied lonely.loon4900
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2064
Profit
on $14700 staked
75-72
Record
51% win rate
+14%
Return
+$2.2K-$1.9K
Jul 27Oct 12
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
1.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.29×
Profit factor
$9.3K won vs $7.2K lost
+7.3 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 44¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 10
- Deepest drawdown
- 48 trades
By category
sports146 settled+12%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Los Angeles R wins
Oct 13, 2 fills
ATL Falcons wins by over 3.5 points?
Oct 12
Green Bay wins
Oct 11, 4 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.4KKXNCAAFGAME-26OCT10TEXOKLA-OKLA$806 on Yes at 25¢, Oct 10
- 2+$2.2KATL Falcons wins by over 3.5 points?$2.5K on No at 53¢, Oct 12
- 3+$1.7KChicago wins$1.5K on No at 48¢, Oct 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Green Bay wins79¢4100%+$812
ATL Falcons wins by over 3.5 points?53¢1100%+$2.2K
Chicago wins48¢467%+$1.7K
KXNCAAFGAME-26OCT10TEXOKLA-OKLA25¢1100%+$2.4K
Los Angeles R wins46¢20%-$670
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$1
Jun 2026-$9
Jul 2026-$19
Aug 2026-$475
Sep 2026-$549
Oct 2026+$7.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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