Stats as of
loss.test
+$301
- Tracked Trades
- 1,117
- First Seen
- Jul 5, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 4, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 20% won · 379 settled · +$131
loss.test is a Kalshi trader with 1,117 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 105 wins and 451 losses on settled markets, $301 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Christian Yelich: 2+,yes Jackson Chourio: 2+,yes Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ on Oct 4.
- Win rate
- 19%
- Return on settled
- +7%
- Money traded
- $28.3K
- Typical trade
- $5
- Avg entry
- 1¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,046
Profit over time
+$923-$126
Jul 5Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢8182%4%+1 pts
20 to 40¢10028%32%+4 pts
40 to 60¢7752%69%+18 pts
60 to 80¢3967%73%+6 pts
Over 80¢8393%100%+7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $228012%-$40
$2 to $52796%-$0
$5 to $92798%+$203
$9 to $4.8K27944%+$138
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays4821%-$240
Bitcoin47320%+$131
Baseball6742%+$129
Tennis4628%+$31
Soccer4100%+$103
Golf60%-$70
Side taken
Yes 69%31% No
If you had copied loss.test
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$5695
Profit
on $53100 staked
90-441
Record
17% win rate
-11%
Return
311 still open
+$0-$5.7K
Jul 13Sep 28
-$14.5K
Max drawdown
165% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.87×
Profit factor
$38.4K won vs $44.1K lost
+2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
17% won at 15¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 100
- Deepest drawdown
- 163 trades
By category
sports129 settled+11%
crypto378 settled-16%
finance24 settled-49%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
333 open positions worth $1.8K
The markets loss.test is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Christian Yelich: 2+,yes Jackson Chourio: 2+,yes Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+
Oct 4
yes Christian Yelich: 2+,yes Luis Lara: 1+,yes William Contreras: 2+,yes Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+,yes William Contreras: 1+,yes Manny Machado: 1+
Oct 4
yes New York G,yes San Francisco,yes Detroit,yes Green Bay,yes Washington,yes Buffalo,yes George Kittle: 1+,yes Chuba Hubbard: 1+,yes Josh Downs: 1+,yes Davante Adams: 1+
Oct 4, 3 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$355yes Adam Walton,yes Terence Atmane,yes Mattia Bellucci,yes Michael Zheng,yes Over 14.5 games,yes Over 14.5 games,yes Over 15.5 games,yes Carlos Alcaraz,yes Arthur Fils,yes Alexander Zverev,no Burkina Faso,yes Brazil,no Australia,no Bolivia,no Over 5.5 goals scored,yes Chris Sale: 4+,yes Payton Tolle: 4+,yes Cam Schlittler: 4+,yes Michael King: 2+,no Over 11.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,no Over 10.5 runs scored,no Over 11.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 points,yes Over 2.5 points,no Boston College,yes Tarleton St.,yes Indiana,yes Memphis,yes Miami (FL),no Middle Tennessee,yes North Dakota,yes Notre Dame,yes Austin Peay,yes Lamar,no Iowa,yes UAB,yes Toledo,yes Florida Atlantic,yes Houston,yes Boise St.,yes New Mexico,yes Georgia,no Wyoming,no Arkansas wins by over 10.5 points,no TCU wins by over 14.5 points,no NC St. wins by over 14.5 points,no Marshall wins by over 6.5 points,no Purdue wins by over 14.5 points,no Stanford wins by over 11.5 points,no Colorado wins by over 10.5 points,no Louisiana-Monroe wins by over 10.5 points,no Washington wins by over 14.5 points,no Over 62.5 points scored,no Over 66.5 points scored,yes Quinshon Judkins: 30+,no CLE Browns wins by over 14.5 points,no CAR Panthers wins by over 14.5 points,no LV Raiders wins by over 14.5 points,no LA Chargers wins by over 14.5 points,no MIA Dolphins wins by over 10.5 points,no NE Patriots wins by over 14.5 points,no TEN Titans wins by over 10.5 points,no San Marino,no Belarus wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Alexandra Shubladze,yes Over 14.5 games$5 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 29
- 2+$295BTC price up in next 15 mins?$12 on Yes at 4¢, Sep 15
- 3+$180BTC price up in next 15 mins?$6 on Yes at 3¢, Sep 16
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?5¢46520%+$134
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202660E33A46660-58E9F6325781+$0
yes Toronto,yes Chicago C,yes Texas,yes Tampa Bay,yes Los Angeles A,yes Cincinnati,yes Philadelphia,yes New York Y,yes Boston,yes Atlanta0¢2+$0
yes Baltimore,yes Cincinnati,yes New York M,yes Philadelphia,yes New York Y,yes Boston,yes Atlanta,yes Los Angeles D,yes Texas,yes Houston,yes Colorado0¢3+$0
yes Houston,yes Boston,yes San Diego,yes Vegas,yes Carolina,yes Montreal,yes Boston,yes Edmonton,yes Las Vegas,yes Minnesota0¢20%-$5
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 7Oct 4
Profit by month
Jul 2026+$229
Aug 2026-$69
Sep 2026+$531
Oct 2026-$389
Kalshi leaderboards
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