Stats as of
luck.week
+$5.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,060
- First Seen
- Sep 1, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 15, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 98% won · 168 settled · +$5.3K
luck.week is a Kalshi trader with 1,060 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 934 wins and 66 losses on settled markets, $5.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026KHNNGV4R7QI7TVAX-PCM2JGCNJ on Oct 15.
- Win rate
- 93%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $321.2K
- Typical trade
- $59
- Avg entry
- 92¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,103
Profit over time
+$7.5K-$1.9K
Sep 1Oct 15
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢347%
40 to 60¢655%100%+45 pts
60 to 80¢2274%86%+12 pts
Over 80¢99895%94%-2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1026594%-$26
$10 to $5826591%-$247
$60 to $29426595%-$506
$294 to $9.8K26594%+$6.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball40398%+$3.5K
College football39987%-$6.7K
NFL18398%+$5.3K
Tennis69100%+$1.9K
Parlays533%+$1.6K
Hockey1100%+$80
Side taken
Yes 47%53% No
If you had copied luck.week
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1928
Profit
on $100000 staked
934-66
Record
93% win rate
-2%
Return
1 still open
+$1.3K-$1.9K
Aug 31Oct 12
-$4.0K
Max drawdown
283% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.71×
Profit factor
$4.7K won vs $6.6K lost
-1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
93% won at 95¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 35
- Deepest drawdown
- 62 trades
By category
sports992 settled-2%
other7 settled-4%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026KHNNGV4R7QI7TVAX-PCM2JGCNJ
Oct 15
Parlay: Not Milwaukee wins by over 3.5 runs + New England
Oct 15, 2 fills
Hugo Dellien wins
Oct 14
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.7KDenver wins$16.3K on Yes at 74¢, Oct 11
- 2+$3.5KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202699599C7E6BF-1B862648C0C$9.8K on Yes at 74¢, Oct 10
- 3+$715Tampa Bay wins$2.7K on Yes at 79¢, Oct 9
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Denver wins74¢8100%+$5.8K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202699599C7E6BF-1B862648C0C74¢1100%+$3.5K
New England wins96¢2100%+$404
Ole Miss wins96¢1100%+$407
Tampa Bay wins88¢25100%+$1.2K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 18Oct 15
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$3.1K
Oct 2026+$2.6K
Kalshi leaderboards
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