rivomarkets

Stats as of

Kalshi

manuelito.650

+$445
Tracked Trades
257
First Seen
Dec 19, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 9, 2026
Best In NFL
59% won · 41 settled · +$386

manuelito.650 is a Kalshi trader with 257 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 43 wins and 97 losses on settled markets, $445 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes SF 49ers,yes JAC Jaguars,yes GB Packers,yes PIT Steelers,yes IND Colts,yes BAL Ravens,yes BUF Bills,yes CIN Bengals,yes KC Chiefs,yes LA Rams,yes MIA Dolphins,yes NE Patriots,yes DET Lions on Oct 9.

Win rate
31%
Return on settled
+35%
Money traded
$6.7K
Typical trade
$8
Avg entry
9¢
Kalshi rank
#4,054

Profit over time

+$512-$62
Dec 19Oct 9

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1417%10%+3 pts
20 to 40¢5629%50%+21 pts
40 to 60¢2345%54%+8 pts
60 to 80¢2068%100%+32 pts
Over 80¢1792%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $26518%+$127
$2 to $86436%+$73
$8 to $166434%-$11
$17 to $1.4K6445%+$255

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays410%-$45
NFL5759%+$386
Soccer330%-$28
Bitcoin7621%+$85
Boxing1920%+$43
MMA2426%+$25

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied manuelito.650

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$11419
Profit
on $11900 staked
37-82
Record
31% win rate
+96%
Return
29 still open
Profit over time119 settled trades
+$12.2K+$0
Jul 20Oct 5
-$3.2K
Max drawdown
39% below peak
3.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.39×
Profit factor
$19.6K won vs $8.2K lost
+11.9 pts
Edge vs implied
31% won at 19¢ avg
Longest losing streak
22
Deepest drawdown
34 trades

By category

crypto63 settled+169%
sports53 settled+20%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

19 open positions worth $510

The markets manuelito.650 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what manuelito.650 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes SF 49ers,yes JAC Jaguars,yes GB Packers,yes PIT Steelers,yes IND Colts,yes BAL Ravens,yes BUF Bills,yes CIN Bengals,yes KC Chiefs,yes LA Rams,yes MIA Dolphins,yes NE Patriots,yes DET Lions
Oct 9
Sold Nosold 94¢$1.4KExited
yes CeeDee Lamb: 1+,yes George Pickens: 1+,yes Bucky Irving: 1+
Oct 9
Yes6¢$5-$5
yes George Pickens: 1+,yes Jake Ferguson: 1+,yes Chris Godwin Jr.: 1+
Oct 8
Yes2¢$5-$5
See every position across 101 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Las Vegas wins
    $113 on Yes at 28¢, Sep 20
    +$294
  2. 2
    LA Rams wins 2H by over 6.5 points?
    $317 on Yes at 72¢, Sep 22
    +$125
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $20 on Yes at 14¢, Sep 10
    +$124
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes SF 49ers,yes JAC Jaguars,yes GB Packers,yes PIT Steelers,yes IND Colts,yes BAL Ravens,yes BUF Bills,yes CIN Bengals,yes KC Chiefs,yes LA Rams,yes MIA Dolphins,yes NE Patriots,yes DET Lions1+$0
yes Green Bay,yes San Francisco,yes Kansas City,yes Las Vegas,yes Seattle14¢4+$0
yes Cody White: 10+,yes Mike Washington Jr.: 15+,yes George Kittle: 1+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+,yes Brock Bowers: 1+2¢2+$0
Pro Football Pro Football Playoff Qualifiers Winner?9¢2+$0
BTC price up in next 15 mins?2¢7621%+$85

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 12Oct 9

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$38
Jan 2026-$11
May 2026+$42
Jun 2026-$15
Jul 2026-$28
Sep 2026+$563
Oct 2026-$67

Kalshi leaderboards

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