Stats as of
married.firefly2121
+$2.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,288
- First Seen
- Aug 25, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 12, 2026
- Best In Soccer
- 40% won · 588 settled · +$3.1K
married.firefly2121 is a Kalshi trader with 1,288 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 260 wins and 411 losses on settled markets, $2.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will over 0.5 goals be scored? on Oct 12.
- Win rate
- 39%
- Return on settled
- +5%
- Money traded
- $136.9K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Avg entry
- 19¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,177
Profit over time
+$10.6K+$0
Aug 25Oct 12
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3548%15%+7 pts
20 to 40¢26430%42%+12 pts
40 to 60¢29451%52%+0 pts
60 to 80¢17869%54%-15 pts
Over 80¢19891%81%-10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $232231%+$9
$2 to $932231%+$67
$9 to $4632243%+$648
$46 to $21K32253%+$1.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer101740%+$3.1K
Parlays24219%-$766
Commodities22100%+$13
Bitcoin70%-$11
Side taken
Yes 76%24% No
If you had copied married.firefly2121
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$12573
Profit
on $67100 staked
260-411
Record
39% win rate
+19%
Return
312 still open
+$17.1K+$0
Aug 24Oct 12
-$9.1K
Max drawdown
50% below peak
1.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.31×
Profit factor
$53.7K won vs $41.1K lost
+3.8 pts
Edge vs implied
39% won at 35¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 53
- Deepest drawdown
- 178 trades
By category
sports644 settled+20%
finance13 settled+8%
other8 settled+0%
crypto6 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
108 open positions worth $23.7K
The markets married.firefly2121 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will over 0.5 goals be scored?
Oct 12
Both Teams To Score
Oct 10
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20261E3468FD5EB-29C2A24D261
Oct 10
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.2KJamaica wins$2.0K on Yes at 39¢, Sep 26
- 2+$2.2KRoma wins$761 on Yes at 26¢, Sep 5
- 3+$1.9KTie is the result$936 on Yes at 33¢, Sep 30
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Both Teams To Score51¢51145%+$3.1K
yes Dortmund,yes Bayern Munich,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Inter,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Arsenal,yes Barcelona,yes Inter,yes Bayern Munich,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored5¢60%-$1.0K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026ABB58AA0E18-F54EF12C8E91+$0
Barcelona wins30¢570%-$2.0K
Will over 0.5 goals be scored?63¢3865%-$1.5K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 15Oct 12
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$330
Sep 2026+$7.6K
Oct 2026-$5.7K
Kalshi leaderboards
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