rivomarkets

Stats as of

matkia27

-$1.7K
Tracked Trades
909
First Seen
Dec 28, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 15, 2026
Best In NFL
32% won · 47 settled · +$1.2K

matkia27 is a Kalshi trader with 909 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 391 wins and 460 losses on settled markets, -$1.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will it rain in Washington DC on Oct 15, 2026? on Oct 15.

Win rate
46%
Return on settled
-4%
Money traded
$52.8K
Typical trade
$19
Avg entry
36¢
Kalshi rank
#5,612

Profit over time

+$75-$4.3K
Dec 28Oct 15

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢13911%2%-8 pts
20 to 40¢18130%31%+1 pts
40 to 60¢23251%47%-3 pts
60 to 80¢20270%73%+3 pts
Over 80¢15588%68%-20 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $522835%-$93
$5 to $1922746%-$477
$19 to $6422744%-$2.4K
$65 to $1.1K22759%+$1.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis10072%+$157
Mentions23942%-$1.8K
NFL5032%+$1.4K
College basketball8628%-$1.2K
Hockey5068%-$41
NBA2966%+$882

Side taken

Yes 85%15% No

If you had copied matkia27

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1607
Profit
on $25400 staked
120-134
Record
47% win rate
+6%
Return
38 still open
Profit over time254 settled trades
+$1.6K-$1.3K
Sep 7Oct 12
-$5.3K
Max drawdown
77% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.12×
Profit factor
$15.0K won vs $13.4K lost
+2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 45¢ avg
Longest losing streak
36
Deepest drawdown
69 trades

By category

sports47 settled+19%
culture189 settled+13%
crypto18 settled-100%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $658

The markets matkia27 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what matkia27 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the minimum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 14, 2026?
Oct 15, 23 fills
Yes74¢$99-$99
Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 14, 2026?
Oct 15, 12 fills
Yes64¢$98-$98
Los Angeles D wins
Oct 15
Yes44¢$96-$96
See every position across 293 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Cleveland wins
    $575 on Yes at 34¢, Oct 2
    +$1.1K
  2. 2
    Indiana at Oklahoma City Winner?
    $453 on Yes at 33¢, Jan 24
    +$921
  3. 3
    Will it rain in Minneapolis on Oct 13, 2026?
    $479 on Yes at 38¢, Oct 13
    +$789
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union?41¢3237%-$398
Will Petr Brunclik win the Torres vs Brunclik : Round Of 32 match?94¢30%-$1.4K
Will Daniel Dutra Da Silva win the Dutra Da Silva vs Roncadelli : Qualification Final match?91¢8100%+$127
Will Roberto Carballes Baena win the Carballes Baena vs Geerts : Round Of 32 match?84¢2100%+$202
Denver at Milwaukee Winner?75¢1100%+$328

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 18Oct 15

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$113
Jan 2026-$1.9K
Feb 2026-$1.5K
Mar 2026-$485
Sep 2026-$42
Oct 2026+$2.4K

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