Stats as of
Mazda15
mazda15
+$1.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Oct 4, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 6, 2026
- Followers
- 30
- Best In Weather
- 75% won · 931 settled · +$1.2K
Mazda15 is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 695 wins and 236 losses on settled markets, $1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the minimum temperature be >58° on Oct 5, 2026? on Oct 6.
- Win rate
- 75%
- Return on settled
- +16%
- Money traded
- $14.4K
- Typical trade
- $1
- Avg entry
- 71¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,058
Profit over time
+$1.2K-$132
Oct 4Oct 6
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1489%2%-7 pts
20 to 40¢14631%40%+9 pts
40 to 60¢5651%73%+22 pts
60 to 80¢14169%91%+22 pts
Over 80¢50990%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $025052%-$2
$0 to $125070%+$2
$1 to $825079%+$170
$8 to $2.1K25098%+$1.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Weather100075%+$1.2K
Side taken
Yes 59%41% No
If you had copied Mazda15
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$5319
Profit
on $93100 staked
695-236
Record
75% win rate
+6%
Return
+$5.3K-$5.8K
Sep 28Oct 5
-$10.7K
Max drawdown
24671% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.23×
Profit factor
$28.9K won vs $23.6K lost
+10.6 pts
Edge vs implied
75% won at 64¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 25
- Deepest drawdown
- 183 trades
By category
culture931 settled+6%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the minimum temperature be >58° on Oct 5, 2026?
Oct 6, 27 fills
Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 5, 2026?
Oct 6, 5 fills
Will the minimum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 5, 2026?
Oct 5, 13 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$475Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 5, 2026?$1.7K on Yes at 79¢, Oct 5
- 2+$474Will the maximum temperature be >71° on Oct 5, 2026?$1.6K on No at 77¢, Oct 5
- 3+$171Will the maximum temperature be 78-79° on Oct 4, 2026?$435 on Yes at 72¢, Oct 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 5, 2026?82¢21399%+$496
Will the maximum temperature be >71° on Oct 5, 2026?77¢135100%+$474
Will the maximum temperature be 78-79° on Oct 4, 2026?72¢7099%+$171
Will the maximum temperature be >79° on Oct 4, 2026?83¢44100%+$54
Will the minimum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 5, 2026?93¢12100%+$19
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 9Oct 6
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$1.2K
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