Stats as of
Melody626
melody626
+$178
- Tracked Trades
- 190
- First Seen
- Aug 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 10, 2026
- Best In US elections
- 59% won · 51 settled · +$531
Melody626 is a Kalshi trader with 190 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 54 wins and 46 losses on settled markets, $178 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? on Oct 10.
- Win rate
- 54%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $23.0K
- Typical trade
- $20
- Avg entry
- 53¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,910
Profit over time
+$1.3K-$556
Aug 14Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3112%0%-12 pts
20 to 40¢5034%83%+49 pts
40 to 60¢3348%67%+19 pts
60 to 80¢6267%47%-20 pts
Over 80¢1486%100%+14 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $44822%-$12
$4 to $214871%+$114
$21 to $944772%+$960
$96 to $1.6K4754%-$884
Categories
TradesWonProfit
US elections14549%+$101
World politics4567%+$77
Side taken
Yes 42%58% No
If you had copied Melody626
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1380
Profit
on $10000 staked
54-46
Record
54% win rate
+14%
Return
17 still open
+$1.4K-$2.0K
Aug 10Oct 5
-$2.4K
Max drawdown
6406% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.30×
Profit factor
$6.0K won vs $4.6K lost
+8.0 pts
Edge vs implied
54% won at 46¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 21
- Deepest drawdown
- 39 trades
By category
politics100 settled+14%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
5 open positions worth $580
The markets Melody626 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 10, 3 fills
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 4, 13 fills
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 4, 15 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.4KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$858 on No at 38¢, Oct 4
- 2+$738Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-1?$1.8K on Yes at 71¢, Sep 9
- 3+$667Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$392 on Yes at 37¢, Oct 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-1?43¢6456%+$312
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?38¢21100%+$1.4K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?57¢1833%-$1.3K
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-1?63¢3174%-$51
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?59¢1530%+$270
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 13Oct 10
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$59
Sep 2026+$159
Oct 2026+$77
Kalshi leaderboards
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