Stats as of
michael3888
-$18.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,737
- First Seen
- Mar 31, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 12, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 55% won · 11 settled · +$4.2K
michael3888 is a Kalshi trader with 1,737 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 573 wins and 510 losses on settled markets, -$18.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Carlos Alcaraz wins on Oct 12.
- Win rate
- 53%
- Return on settled
- -6%
- Money traded
- $496.8K
- Typical trade
- $38
- Avg entry
- 43¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,789
Profit over time
+$1.0K-$21.3K
Mar 31Oct 11
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2266%21%+15 pts
20 to 40¢28031%15%-15 pts
40 to 60¢52749%38%-10 pts
60 to 80¢36169%79%+10 pts
Over 80¢34391%94%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $543561%-$35
$5 to $3843456%-$774
$38 to $29743443%-$3.0K
$303 to $13K43452%-$14.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis146656%-$10.2K
College football7947%-$634
Baseball9143%-$10.1K
NBA3935%+$108
Parlays140%-$2.6K
Golf120%-$2.2K
Side taken
Yes 75%25% No
If you had copied michael3888
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$6960
Profit
on $93900 staked
526-413
Record
56% win rate
-7%
Return
145 still open
+$312-$8.3K
Jul 20Oct 5
-$9.8K
Max drawdown
836% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.83×
Profit factor
$34.3K won vs $41.3K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
56% won at 57¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 42
- Deepest drawdown
- 813 trades
By category
sports149 settled+0%
culture33 settled-2%
other757 settled-9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
31 open positions worth $17.9K
The markets michael3888 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Carlos Alcaraz wins
Oct 12
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CBC5B62F8F0-5CE041B48EC
Oct 11
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CBC5B62F8F0-5CE041B48EC
Oct 11
Biggest wins
- 1+$6.0KWill Nicolas Kicker win the Kicker vs Faurel: Round Of 16 match?$3.8K on Yes at 39¢, Aug 13
- 2+$5.9KWill Tristan Schoolkate win the Schoolkate vs Cina: Round Of 32 match?$4.7K on Yes at 45¢, Aug 13
- 3+$3.4KDuke wins$2.9K on Yes at 46¢, Sep 12
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Francisco Comesana wins4+$0
Will Tristan Schoolkate win the Schoolkate vs Cina: Round Of 32 match?45¢20100%+$5.9K
Will Kamilla Rakhimova win the Rakhimova vs Li: Round Of 16 match?44¢50%-$2.9K
Will Sho Shimabukuro win the Shimabukuro vs Wolf: Qualification Round 2 match?33¢60%-$2.2K
Alabama wins75¢467%+$362
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 15Oct 12
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$462
Apr 2026-$15.9K
May 2026-$3.4K
Jun 2026-$547
Jul 2026-$234
Aug 2026+$8.7K
Sep 2026-$6.2K
Oct 2026-$400
Kalshi leaderboards
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