Stats as of
miguelito.849
-$1.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,154
- First Seen
- Jul 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 35% won · 20 settled · +$4.3K
miguelito.849 is a Kalshi trader with 1,154 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 450 wins and 381 losses on settled markets, -$1.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXATPSETWINNER-26OCT11ZVEBUB-2-ZVE on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 54%
- Return on settled
- -2%
- Money traded
- $129.9K
- Typical trade
- $18
- Avg entry
- 48¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,307
Profit over time
+$3.0K-$9.5K
Jul 10Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢12611%11%+0 pts
20 to 40¢19731%19%-12 pts
40 to 60¢36351%55%+4 pts
60 to 80¢33068%75%+7 pts
Over 80¢13888%94%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $628947%-$70
$6 to $1828961%+$163
$18 to $7528857%-$394
$75 to $3.6K28852%-$1.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis27637%-$2.8K
Esports54763%-$1.5K
NFL3635%+$4.3K
Soccer4675%-$3.5K
Baseball2362%+$2.1K
Basketball11936%-$169
Side taken
Yes 74%26% No
If you had copied miguelito.849
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$2308
Profit
on $57900 staked
299-280
Record
52% win rate
-4%
Return
1 still open
+$1.4K-$2.3K
Jul 20Oct 12
-$9.9K
Max drawdown
229% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.92×
Profit factor
$25.7K won vs $28.0K lost
+1.4 pts
Edge vs implied
52% won at 50¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 32
- Deepest drawdown
- 316 trades
By category
sports560 settled-3%
other15 settled-9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXATPSETWINNER-26OCT11ZVEBUB-2-ZVE
Oct 13
KXATPSETWINNER-26OCT11ZVEBUB-1-ZVE
Oct 13
Will Daria Snigur win set 2 in the Daria Snigur vs Elise Mertens match
Oct 13
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.6KZizou Bergs wins$1.5K on Yes at 37¢, Oct 12
- 2+$2.2KHanyu Guo wins$953 on Yes at 30¢, Oct 13
- 3+$2.1KDenver wins$954 on Yes at 31¢, Oct 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
France vs Spain: To Advance60¢20%-$2.4K
Elise Mertens wins63¢30%-$2.8K
Atlanta wins63¢10%-$2.7K
Will Daria Snigur win set 2 in the Daria Snigur vs Elise Mertens match47¢2100%+$1.6K
Will 9z win map 2 in the Alliance vs. 9z match?55¢240%-$1.5K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$5.7K
Aug 2026-$2.6K
Sep 2026-$1.1K
Oct 2026+$7.8K
Kalshi leaderboards
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