Stats as of
moderate.iguana4316
+$1.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 81
- First Seen
- Jun 24, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 12, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 13% won · 30 settled · +$1.6K
moderate.iguana4316 is a Kalshi trader with 81 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 4 wins and 38 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CF8B5C51A09-ECB977E88F9 on Oct 12.
- Win rate
- 10%
- Return on settled
- +81%
- Money traded
- $5.9K
- Typical trade
- $24
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,942
Profit over time
+$1.7K-$1.0K
Jun 24Oct 12
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢737%5%-2 pts
20 to 40¢424%50%+26 pts
40 to 60¢141%
Over 80¢385%100%+15 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $14217%-$55
$14 to $24200%-$193
$24 to $522022%+$2.3K
$54 to $2.0K2011%-$696
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays6913%+$1.6K
Baseball10%-$165
Soccer20%-$28
Weather90%-$24
Side taken
Yes 94%6% No
If you had copied moderate.iguana4316
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$4290
Profit
on $4000 staked
4-36
Record
10% win rate
+107%
Return
28 still open
+$4.3K-$1.5K
Jul 13Oct 12
-$2.5K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
1.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.19×
Profit factor
$7.9K won vs $3.6K lost
-0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
10% won at 11¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 23
- Deepest drawdown
- 26 trades
By category
sports31 settled+167%
culture9 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
27 open positions worth $1.3K
The markets moderate.iguana4316 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CF8B5C51A09-ECB977E88F9
Oct 12
yes Tampa Bay,yes Los Angeles D,yes Over 1.5 runs scored,yes Over 1.5 runs scored,yes London Lions
Oct 12
no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored
Oct 12
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.2Kyes Elfsborg,yes Malmo,yes Aarhus,yes Pyramids,no Over 1.5 1H goals scored,no Over 1.5 1H goals scored,yes Valladolid,yes Atalanta,no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored$33 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 12
- 2+$402yes Denver,yes San Francisco,yes Bo Nix: 1+,yes Justin Herbert: 1+,yes Sam Darnold: 1+,yes Brock Purdy: 2+$42 on Yes at 10¢, Oct 11
- 3+$334yes Michael Penix Jr.: 1+,yes Tyler Huntley: 1+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+$95 on Yes at 22¢, Oct 12
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CF8B5C51A09-ECB977E88F91+$0
yes Green Bay,yes Cincinnati,yes Houston,yes New England,yes Minnesota,yes Washington,yes San Francisco19¢2+$0
yes Nacional,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Colombia,yes Mexico,yes USA6¢1+$0
yes Los Angeles D,yes Tampa Bay,yes Ronald Acuña Jr.: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Tyler Mahle: 4+,yes Tyler Glasnow: 5+,yes Max Fried: 4+,yes Nick Martinez: 3+2¢10%-$234
yes Spain,yes Lionel Messi: 1+,yes Lamine Yamal: 1+7¢30%-$230
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 15Oct 12
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$14
Jul 2026-$268
Sep 2026-$46
Oct 2026+$1.7K
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies moderate.iguana4316.
Bring moderate.iguana4316 into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.