Stats as of
moderate.marlin1698
+$502
- Tracked Trades
- 201
- First Seen
- Jun 4, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 13% won · 16 settled · +$1.4K
moderate.marlin1698 is a Kalshi trader with 201 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 14 wins and 71 losses on settled markets, $502 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 16%
- Return on settled
- +25%
- Money traded
- $13.2K
- Typical trade
- $12
- Avg entry
- 4¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,878
Profit over time
+$648-$1.4K
Jun 4Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢786%6%+0 pts
20 to 40¢1631%9%-22 pts
40 to 60¢3950%14%-36 pts
60 to 80¢3173%33%-39 pts
Over 80¢3784%100%+16 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4510%-$17
$5 to $125023%-$195
$12 to $415014%+$1.7K
$42 to $4.3K5013%-$976
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays7213%+$1.4K
Commodities2316%-$472
College football5518%-$74
NFL157%-$218
Tennis2313%-$92
Baseball1133%-$45
Side taken
Yes 54%46% No
If you had copied moderate.marlin1698
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$5230
Profit
on $8400 staked
14-70
Record
17% win rate
+62%
Return
82 still open
+$5.2K-$5.5K
Sep 7Oct 12
-$5.6K
Max drawdown
15778% below peak
0.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.75×
Profit factor
$12.2K won vs $7.0K lost
-18.8 pts
Edge vs implied
17% won at 35¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 27
- Deepest drawdown
- 79 trades
By category
sports19 settled+485%
other46 settled-56%
finance19 settled-75%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
51 open positions worth $3.3K
The markets moderate.marlin1698 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 13
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026A78E141C0AF-0B29D6CE639
Oct 13
yes Matthew Stafford: 375+,yes LA Rams wins by over 5.5 points
Oct 13
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.0Kyes Matthew Stafford: 2+,no Josh Allen: 225+,yes Matthew Stafford: 300+,yes Davante Adams: 50+,yes Kyren Williams: 25+,yes Puka Nacua: 80+,yes Tyler Higbee: 25+,no BUF Bills D/ST: 1+,no Dalton Kincaid: 1+,no Dawson Knox: 1+,no Khalil Shakir: 1+,no Skyler Bell: 1+,no Ty Johnson: 1+$19 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 12
- 2+$60Full Game: over 21.5 points scored?$38 on No at 39¢, Sep 20
- 3+$35Clemson wins$49 on Yes at 58¢, Sep 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202623B9942866F-86E633712001+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026E3D7787059E-6AD1D4171A61+$0
Parlay: MIN Vikings wins by over 1.5 points + Over 42.5 points scored1+$0
Gold price up in next 15 mins?32¢2217%-$467
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026A78E141C0AF-0B29D6CE6391+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$18
Sep 2026-$1.2K
Oct 2026+$1.7K
Kalshi leaderboards
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