rivomarkets

Stats as of

mr.obvious

-$7.7K
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Jul 18, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 23, 2026

mr.obvious is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 435 wins and 131 losses on settled markets, -$7.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNBAWEST-27-LAL on Sep 23.

Win rate
77%
Return on settled
-6%
Money traded
$233.6K
Typical trade
$60
Avg entry
32¢
Kalshi rank
#5,534

Profit over time

+$0-$19.4K
Jul 18Jul 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢14011%0%-11 pts
20 to 40¢8624%0%-24 pts
40 to 60¢2057%100%+43 pts
60 to 80¢26773%100%+27 pts
Over 80¢48791%99%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1525080%-$8
$15 to $6025079%-$261
$60 to $20625078%-$1.5K
$210 to $12K25072%-$5.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer92778%-$6.2K
NBA32+$0
Companies31+$0
Parlays100%-$1.4K

Side taken

Yes 23%77% No

If you had copied mr.obvious

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

No trade from the last 90 days has resolved yet. 35 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

11 open positions worth $18.1K

The markets mr.obvious is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what mr.obvious is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
When will OpenAI IPO?
Aug 11
Sold Nosold 71¢$1.3KExited
Will Los Angeles L win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
Jul 20
Sold Nosold 97¢$5.3KExited
Who will IPO before 2027?
Jul 20, 3 fills
No73¢sold 73¢$3Exited
See every position across 33 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?
    $62.9K on No at 83¢, Jul 19
    +$13.1K
  2. 2
    Spain vs Argentina Winner?
    $9.9K on No at 85¢, Jul 19
    +$1.7K
  3. 3
    Over 0.5 1H goals scored?
    $10.0K on No at 89¢, Jul 19
    +$1.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?66¢24297%+$11.4K
Spain vs Argentina Winner?27¢12859%-$13.0K
Over 0.5 1H goals scored?71¢16385%+$783
Over 1.5 1H goals scored?54¢8290%-$764
Will Miami win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?92¢3+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 26Sep 23

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$7.7K

Kalshi leaderboards

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