Stats as of
nail.stake
+$31
- Tracked Trades
- 594
- First Seen
- Apr 9, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 11, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 10% won · 80 settled · +$14
nail.stake is a Kalshi trader with 594 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 16 wins and 92 losses on settled markets, $31 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20269B52479559E-42BD1E3C15F on Oct 11.
- Win rate
- 15%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $35.5K
- Typical trade
- $11
- Avg entry
- 1¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,359
Profit over time
+$585-$263
Apr 9Oct 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4705%4%-1 pts
20 to 40¢4130%60%+30 pts
40 to 60¢2748%100%+52 pts
60 to 80¢2471%
Over 80¢3292%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $914920%-$36
$9 to $1114914%+$608
$11 to $2314817%+$209
$23 to $4.1K1485%-$749
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays54010%+$14
Bitcoin1630%+$13
XRP12+$0
Other crypto158%-$3
Commodities4100%+$6
Solana3+$0
Side taken
Yes 86%14% No
If you had copied nail.stake
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$4737
Profit
on $8800 staked
12-76
Record
14% win rate
+54%
Return
272 still open
+$6.3K-$400
Jul 13Sep 28
-$2.8K
Max drawdown
45% below peak
1.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.62×
Profit factor
$12.3K won vs $7.6K lost
+5.0 pts
Edge vs implied
14% won at 9¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 27
- Deepest drawdown
- 62 trades
By category
other52 settled+100%
sports36 settled-13%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
262 open positions worth $5.3K
The markets nail.stake is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20269B52479559E-42BD1E3C15F
Oct 11
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FDF20A8DCDB-900B3A0402E
Oct 10
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202624476F9F18B-713A7BA0C01
Oct 9
Biggest wins
- 1+$600yes America,yes Austin,yes Chicago Fire,yes Cruz Azul,yes Nashville,yes Philadelphia,yes San Diego FC$9 on Yes at 2¢, Aug 9
- 2+$450yes Gremio Novorizontino,yes Antigua and Barbuda,yes Puerto Rico,yes Curacao,yes Guyana,yes Haiti,yes Montserrat,yes Costa Rica,yes Saint-Martin,yes Seattle$19 on Yes at 4¢, Oct 1
- 3+$257yes Reg Time: Newcastle,yes Reg Time: Everton,yes Reg Time: Tottenham,yes Real Madrid,yes Reg Time: AEK Athens$95 on Yes at 27¢, Aug 26
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Burkina Faso,yes Equatorial Guinea,yes Congo DR,yes Cuba,yes Guadeloupe,yes Guatemala,yes Jamaica,yes Grenada,yes Suriname,yes France0¢20%-$9
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20263B19A24CA50-E5AC755D26E1+$0
yes Atletico Nacional,yes Argentina,yes Tahiti,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Cienciano,yes Lyon,yes Bayern,yes Miami,yes Rhode Island FC,yes Sacramento Republic3¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202679BA1237ED9-382FD8EADFC1+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265948EA1FBA5-83CF1496E941+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 14Oct 11
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$44
Jun 2026-$160
Jul 2026-$59
Aug 2026+$848
Sep 2026-$748
Oct 2026+$195
Kalshi leaderboards
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