rivomarkets

Stats as of

nail.tribe

+$7.7K
Tracked Trades
435
First Seen
Nov 1, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 9, 2026
Best In Parlays
40% won · 15 settled · +$7.9K

nail.tribe is a Kalshi trader with 435 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 23 wins and 37 losses on settled markets, $7.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Liberty + UTSA + Not Missouri St. wins by over 7.5 points + Dallas on Oct 9.

Win rate
38%
Return on settled
+70%
Money traded
$58.3K
Typical trade
$28
Avg entry
28¢
Kalshi rank
#808

Profit over time

+$9.6K-$904
Nov 1Oct 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1249%15%+6 pts
20 to 40¢10429%35%+5 pts
40 to 60¢9350%55%+5 pts
60 to 80¢6669%50%-19 pts
Over 80¢4892%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $810931%+$15
$9 to $2810933%+$3
$28 to $9710942%-$203
$97 to $5.9K10845%+$7.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays12240%+$7.9K
Tennis7240%+$63
NFL3629%-$108
NBA5420%-$51
College basketball8550%-$189
Golf40%-$205

Side taken

Yes 71%29% No

If you had copied nail.tribe

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1165
Profit
on $2400 staked
9-15
Record
38% win rate
+49%
Return
34 still open
Profit over time24 settled trades
+$1.2K-$100
Aug 10Sep 28
-$582
Max drawdown
150% below peak
2.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.78×
Profit factor
$2.7K won vs $1.5K lost
+7.8 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 30¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
8 trades

By category

sports22 settled+62%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

33 open positions worth $3.7K

The markets nail.tribe is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what nail.tribe is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Parlay: Liberty + UTSA + Not Missouri St. wins by over 7.5 points + Dallas
Oct 9
Sold Nosold 82¢$889Exited
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 8
Sold Nosold 74¢$524Exited
Parlay: Qinwen Zheng + Elina Svitolina + Coco Gauff
Oct 7
Sold Nosold 86¢$645Exited
See every position across 226 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $1.9K on Yes at 31¢, Oct 3
    +$4.3K
  2. 2
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $1.4K on Yes at 28¢, Oct 3
    +$3.7K
  3. 3
    yes Memphis,yes LIU,yes Yale,yes Wisconsin,yes Kansas,yes Wake Forest,yes Monmouth,yes Houston,yes Central Connecticut St.,yes SMU wins by over 7.5 points,yes Lehigh wins by over 9.5 points,yes Notre Dame wins by over 7.5 points,yes Georgia wins by over 10.5 points
    $188 on Yes at 9¢, Oct 3
    +$2.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points26¢950%+$5.1K
Denver at Houston Winner?54¢8+$0
Will Iga Swiatek win the Swiatek vs Rybakina match?35¢7+$0
Will Scottie Scheffler win the Masters Tournament?15¢30%-$200
yes Kansas City,yes Kenneth Walker: 60+,no Over 57.5 points scored45¢4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 12Oct 9

Profit by month

Nov 2025+$92
Dec 2025+$111
Jan 2026-$15
Feb 2026-$176
Apr 2026-$205
May 2026-$20
Jul 2026+$1
Aug 2026-$11
Sep 2026-$492
Oct 2026+$8.4K

Kalshi leaderboards

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