rivomarkets

Stats as of

NolanM

nolanm

-$1.8K
Tracked Trades
593
First Seen
Aug 28, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 13, 2026
Best In NFL
47% won · 19 settled · +$677

NolanM is a Kalshi trader with 593 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 61 wins and 83 losses on settled markets, -$1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Buffalo wins on Oct 13.

Win rate
42%
Return on settled
-7%
Money traded
$73.3K
Typical trade
$45
Avg entry
37¢
Kalshi rank
#5,906

Profit over time

+$1.2K-$3.9K
Aug 30Oct 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1128%57%+49 pts
20 to 40¢11430%26%-4 pts
40 to 60¢22649%34%-15 pts
60 to 80¢10069%83%+15 pts
Over 80¢4189%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $914971%+$182
$9 to $4514824%-$82
$45 to $14314830%-$431
$143 to $1.3K14849%-$1.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
MMA10364%-$1.0K
NFL9447%+$677
College football11573%+$305
NBA5616%-$163
Soccer3133%+$53
Tennis3610%-$741

Side taken

Yes 76%24% No

If you had copied NolanM

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$11553
Profit
on $4800 staked
33-15
Record
69% win rate
+241%
Return
91 still open
Profit over time48 settled trades
+$11.8K+$0
Sep 14Oct 12
-$957
Max drawdown
8% below peak
12.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
8.70×
Profit factor
$13.1K won vs $1.5K lost
+33.7 pts
Edge vs implied
69% won at 35¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
19 trades

By category

sports48 settled+241%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

16 open positions worth $8.9K

The markets NolanM is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what NolanM is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Buffalo wins
Oct 13
Yes39¢$501+$783
Iowa Stormboar wins
Oct 12
Sold Nosold 1¢$7Exited
Baltimore wins
Oct 12
Yes51¢$1.2K+$1.1K
See every position across 231 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Baltimore wins
    $1.2K on Yes at 51¢, Oct 12
    +$1.1K
  2. 2
    Philadelphia vs Boston 2026 1st Round series winner?
    $477 on Yes at 32¢, May 2
    +$1.0K
  3. 3
    Will Sean Strickland win the Chimaev vs Strickland professional MMA fight scheduled for May 9, 2026?
    $237 on Yes at 21¢, May 10
    +$891
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Howard wins28¢8+$0
Penn wins40¢78+$0
Will Gabriel Bonfim win the Muhammad vs Bonfim professional MMA fight scheduled for Jun 6, 2026?67¢6+$0
Who will perform at the Super Bowl LX?66¢6+$0
France wins by more than 1.5 goals?58¢8+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 16Oct 13

Profit by month

Sep 2025+$133
Nov 2025-$33
Dec 2025+$826
Jan 2026-$205
Feb 2026-$842
Mar 2026-$70
Apr 2026-$1.1K
May 2026+$495
Jun 2026-$1.1K
Jul 2026+$100
Sep 2026-$1.6K
Oct 2026+$1.6K

Kalshi leaderboards

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