Stats as of
PaidToBeWrong
paidtobewrong
+$313
- Tracked Trades
- 447
- First Seen
- Aug 30, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 14, 2026
- Best In Tennis
- 57% won · 101 settled · +$1.1K
PaidToBeWrong is a Kalshi trader with 447 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 97 wins and 99 losses on settled markets, $313 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026XOT6H3RELPRXJEZK-T7VRV4NUV on Oct 14.
- Win rate
- 49%
- Return on settled
- +7%
- Money traded
- $43.5K
- Typical trade
- $14
- Avg entry
- 10¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,089
Profit over time
+$1.5K-$154
Aug 30Oct 14
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1178%7%-1 pts
20 to 40¢6531%38%+7 pts
40 to 60¢10649%50%+1 pts
60 to 80¢6470%88%+19 pts
Over 80¢9591%94%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $411252%+$18
$4 to $1411254%+$54
$15 to $3811248%-$162
$41 to $5.7K11139%+$403
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays11410%-$434
Tennis17557%+$1.1K
Bitcoin8757%-$36
College football1333%+$162
NFL2646%-$84
Baseball80%-$201
Side taken
Yes 61%39% No
If you had copied PaidToBeWrong
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$838
Profit
on $19600 staked
97-99
Record
49% win rate
+4%
Return
86 still open
+$3.7K+$0
Aug 24Oct 12
-$3.0K
Max drawdown
78% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.08×
Profit factor
$10.7K won vs $9.9K lost
+4.8 pts
Edge vs implied
49% won at 45¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 27
- Deepest drawdown
- 72 trades
By category
crypto53 settled+23%
sports143 settled-3%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
77 open positions worth $4.6K
The markets PaidToBeWrong is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026XOT6H3RELPRXJEZK-T7VRV4NUV
Oct 14
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026XUJ62BPIWC6SB2IN-AWBZ2BFAU
Oct 14
yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes San Jose,yes Over 6.5 goals scored
Oct 14
Biggest wins
- 1+$807Kimberly Birrell wins$516 on Yes at 39¢, Sep 27
- 2+$544Dayana Yastremska wins$482 on Yes at 47¢, Oct 2
- 3+$350Stanford wins$188 on Yes at 35¢, Sep 27
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes BYU wins by over 5.5 points,yes Florida wins by over 4.5 points,yes Over 58.5 points scored,yes Over 47.5 points scored8¢2+$0
yes Tie,yes Atlanta,yes Chicago WS,yes Atlanta4¢2+$0
yes Anaheim,yes Las Vegas22¢2+$0
yes Tie,yes Chicago WS,yes Florida,yes Boston3¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C03ABA2B41B-712C56F8B281+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 17Oct 14
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$32
Sep 2026+$955
Oct 2026-$611
Kalshi leaderboards
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