rivomarkets

Stats as of

phatmack

+$5.3K
Tracked Trades
405
First Seen
Jun 20, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 10, 2026
Best In Baseball
34% won · 65 settled · +$5.8K

phatmack is a Kalshi trader with 405 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 74 wins and 117 losses on settled markets, $5.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: New York wins on Oct 10.

Win rate
39%
Return on settled
+22%
Money traded
$69.2K
Typical trade
$24
Avg entry
37¢
Kalshi rank
#1,164

Profit over time

+$7.2K-$219
Jun 20Oct 10

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢889%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢13131%27%-4 pts
40 to 60¢12750%68%+18 pts
60 to 80¢2266%38%-29 pts
Over 80¢3791%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $410235%-$25
$4 to $2410129%-$89
$24 to $14110143%+$487
$144 to $3.9K10151%+$4.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Baseball18534%+$5.8K
Parlays1833%+$71
Bitcoin10440%+$1.8K
NFL3433%-$1.8K
College football1242%-$634
Soccer5+$0

Side taken

Yes 84%16% No

If you had copied phatmack

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1924
Profit
on $18900 staked
74-115
Record
39% win rate
-10%
Return
118 still open
Profit over time189 settled trades
+$1.4K-$4.5K
Jul 13Oct 5
-$6.7K
Max drawdown
393% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.83×
Profit factor
$9.6K won vs $11.5K lost
+4.5 pts
Edge vs implied
39% won at 35¢ avg
Longest losing streak
23
Deepest drawdown
142 trades

By category

crypto89 settled-2%
sports93 settled-23%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

34 open positions worth $22.6K

The markets phatmack is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what phatmack is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 10, 3 fills
Sold Nosold 54¢$2.0KExited
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 10, 25 fills
Yes45¢$1.7K+$2.1K
DAL Cowboys wins by over 5.5 points?
Oct 7
Yes62¢$341-$341
See every position across 102 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Baltimore vs Boston Winner?
    $4.9K on Yes at 55¢, Jul 21
    +$4.0K
  2. 2
    Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner?
    $2.9K on Yes at 45¢, Jul 18
    +$3.5K
  3. 3
    Atlanta wins
    $1.4K on Yes at 41¢, Aug 26
    +$2.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner?45¢13100%+$3.5K
Baltimore vs Boston Winner?55¢7100%+$4.0K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?32¢10240%+$1.8K
St. Louis vs Arizona Winner?40¢6+$0
Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner?27¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 13Oct 10

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$219
Jul 2026+$6.5K
Aug 2026+$738
Sep 2026-$2.1K
Oct 2026+$409

Kalshi leaderboards

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