rivomarkets

Stats as of

Kalshi

Pinocchio10

pinocchio10

-$43
Tracked Trades
167
First Seen
May 20, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 11, 2026
Best In Parlays
10% won · 20 settled · +$27

Pinocchio10 is a Kalshi trader with 167 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 13 wins and 59 losses on settled markets, -$43 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Seattle,yes Sam Darnold: 175+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 1+ on Oct 11.

Win rate
18%
Return on settled
-5%
Money traded
$10.2K
Typical trade
$9
Avg entry
3¢
Kalshi rank
#4,814

Profit over time

+$140-$432
May 20Oct 11

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1015%2%-3 pts
20 to 40¢3328%32%+4 pts
40 to 60¢645%100%+55 pts
60 to 80¢269%
Over 80¢2595%0%-95 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $24222%-$8
$2 to $9420%-$106
$9 to $204228%-$11
$20 to $3.6K4129%+$82

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays8310%+$27
Soccer6519%-$44
Entertainment5+$0
NBA350%-$9
Bitcoin425%-$14
US elections20%-$2

Side taken

Yes 76%24% No

If you had copied Pinocchio10

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$153
Profit
on $2500 staked
5-20
Record
20% win rate
-6%
Return
46 still open
Profit over time25 settled trades
+$245-$677
Jul 13Oct 5
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
632% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.92×
Profit factor
$1.8K won vs $2.0K lost
+5.7 pts
Edge vs implied
20% won at 14¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
23 trades

By category

sports21 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

44 open positions worth $486

The markets Pinocchio10 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Pinocchio10 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Seattle,yes Sam Darnold: 175+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 1+
Oct 11
Sold Nosold 94¢$247Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267D2DDF71EDB-E07F9A05BD1
Oct 11
Sold Nosold 95¢$1.1KExited
yes San Francisco,yes Brock Purdy: 175+,yes Emanuel Wilson: 30+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 1+
Oct 11
Yes8¢$34+$389
See every position across 113 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes San Francisco,yes Brock Purdy: 175+,yes Emanuel Wilson: 30+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 1+
    $34 on Yes at 8¢, Oct 11
    +$389
  2. 2
    Norway vs Senegal Winner?
    $38 on Yes at 34¢, Jun 23
    +$75
  3. 3
    yes Chris Olave: 80+,yes Bijan Robinson: 80+
    $24 on Yes at 34¢, Oct 5
    +$47
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Arizona,yes Dallas,yes Green Bay,yes Indianapolis,yes Jacksonville,yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R,yes Minnesota,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore1¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267D2DDF71EDB-E07F9A05BD11+$0
yes Chicago WS,yes Los Angeles D,yes Tampa Bay,yes San Diego7¢20%-$46
yes Jalen Hurts: 200+,yes D'Andre Swift: 2+,yes Rome Odunze: 3+,yes DeVonta Smith: 4+,yes Colston Loveland: 15+,yes Luther Burden III: 40+,yes Rome Odunze: 25+,yes DeVonta Smith: 60+,yes D'Andre Swift: 40+,yes Kyle Monangai: 25+,yes Jalen Hurts: 15+,yes Saquon Barkley: 50+1¢2+$0
no Over 6.5 runs,no Over 6.5 runs,no Over 6.5 runs,yes Chicago WS,yes Tampa Bay,yes Dustin May: 1+,yes Nick Pivetta: 2+,no Over 10.5 runs scored,no Over 10.5 runs scored,no Over 11.5 runs scored,yes Atlanta,yes Tyler Shough: 1+,yes Chris Olave: 50+,yes Bijan Robinson: 1+,no Over 69.5 points2¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 14Oct 11

Profit by month

May 2026-$0
Jun 2026+$19
Jul 2026-$241
Sep 2026-$14
Oct 2026+$194

Kalshi leaderboards

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