Stats as of
plain.path
+$590
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Mar 22, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 14, 2026
- Best In Tennis
- 61% won · 49 settled · +$648
plain.path is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 42 wins and 66 losses on settled markets, $590 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20262AF2E8D4516-3B25DB5E344 on Oct 14.
- Win rate
- 39%
- Return on settled
- +13%
- Money traded
- $113.2K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,814
Profit over time
+$1.3K-$301
Apr 19Oct 14
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7323%17%+14 pts
20 to 40¢7930%43%+13 pts
40 to 60¢5249%45%-4 pts
60 to 80¢5669%53%-16 pts
Over 80¢8195%100%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $225056%+$19
$2 to $925021%-$72
$9 to $152505%-$196
$15 to $10.0K25053%+$839
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays8503%-$642
Tennis9661%+$648
Hockey1250%-$21
NFL1080%+$564
Bitcoin2327%+$10
Baseball567%+$34
Side taken
Yes 83%17% No
If you had copied plain.path
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$226
Profit
on $9900 staked
40-59
Record
40% win rate
+2%
Return
251 still open
+$2.1K-$1.1K
Jul 13Oct 12
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
89% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.04×
Profit factor
$6.1K won vs $5.9K lost
+2.9 pts
Edge vs implied
40% won at 37¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 19
- Deepest drawdown
- 19 trades
By category
sports88 settled+7%
crypto11 settled-36%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
242 open positions worth $4.0K
The markets plain.path is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20262AF2E8D4516-3B25DB5E344
Oct 14
yes Boston,yes Anaheim,yes Colorado,yes Edmonton,yes Minnesota,yes Seattle,yes Utah,yes New York I,yes Vegas,yes Carolina
Oct 14
yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R,yes Buffalo,yes Atlanta,yes Jacksonville,yes Kansas City,yes New England,yes Indianapolis,yes Boston,yes Anaheim,yes Edmonton,yes Utah,yes Vegas
Oct 14
Biggest wins
- 1+$726Nana Onozawa wins$584 on Yes at 45¢, Sep 30
- 2+$511Denver wins$229 on Yes at 31¢, Sep 28
- 3+$176Radu David Turcanu wins$169 on Yes at 49¢, Sep 30
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Atlanta,yes Chicago,yes Cleveland,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Pittsburgh,yes Jacksonville,yes San Francisco,yes Los Angeles R,yes Anaheim,yes Vegas,yes Carolina,yes Washington,yes New York R0¢2+$0
yes Edmonton,yes Florida,yes Minnesota,yes New Jersey,yes Pittsburgh,yes Seattle,yes Ottawa,yes Tampa Bay,yes Utah,yes New York I,yes Carolina,no Calgary wins by over 1.5 goals0¢20%-$11
no Over 0.5 runs,no Over 0.5 runs,yes San Jose St.,yes Arizona,yes Dallas,yes Detroit,yes Green Bay,yes Indianapolis,yes Jacksonville,yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes Minnesota,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore,yes Dak Prescott: 200+,yes Anaheim,yes Vegas0¢2+$0
yes Cincinnati,yes Houston,yes Atlanta,yes Cincinnati,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Jacksonville,no NY Jets wins by over 4.5 points,no NE Patriots wins by over 3.5 points,no SEA Seahawks wins by over 3.5 points,yes Anaheim,yes Carolina,yes Boston0¢2+$0
yes Atlanta,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Jacksonville,yes Anaheim,yes Washington,yes Columbus,yes Anaheim,yes Carolina,yes Montreal,yes Edmonton,yes Boston,yes Carolina,yes Washington,yes New York R0¢2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 17Oct 14
Profit by month
Apr 2026+$2
May 2026-$30
Jun 2026-$4
Jul 2026-$13
Aug 2026-$1
Sep 2026+$893
Oct 2026-$257
Kalshi leaderboards
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