Stats as of
poem.bear
+$856
- Tracked Trades
- 714
- First Seen
- Jan 24, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 22% won · 18 settled · +$521
poem.bear is a Kalshi trader with 714 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 100 wins and 142 losses on settled markets, $856 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267E72AADD8F6-0527A7D62A8 on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 41%
- Return on settled
- +10%
- Money traded
- $17.2K
- Typical trade
- $12
- Avg entry
- 10¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,336
Profit over time
+$856-$256
Jan 25Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3765%10%+5 pts
20 to 40¢7929%35%+6 pts
40 to 60¢13150%48%-2 pts
60 to 80¢9368%69%+1 pts
Over 80¢3590%88%-3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $717928%+$31
$7 to $1217919%-$249
$12 to $1917842%+$194
$19 to $1.1K17864%+$880
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays29717%+$447
Soccer31838%+$458
Tennis4381%-$64
College basketball3463%+$39
WNBA2100%+$92
Golf20%-$74
Side taken
Yes 96%4% No
If you had copied poem.bear
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1516
Profit
on $6200 staked
38-24
Record
61% win rate
+24%
Return
30 still open
+$2.2K+$0
Jul 27Oct 12
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
52% below peak
1.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.63×
Profit factor
$3.9K won vs $2.4K lost
+1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 60¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 15 trades
By category
sports58 settled+28%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
22 open positions worth $1.9K
The markets poem.bear is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267E72AADD8F6-0527A7D62A8
Oct 13
Spain wins
Oct 6
Spain wins
Oct 6
Biggest wins
- 1+$496Parlay: Spain + England + Over 1.5 goals scored + Over 1.5 goals scored$701 on Yes at 59¢, Oct 6
- 2+$385KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267E72AADD8F6-0527A7D62A8$1.1K on Yes at 74¢, Oct 13
- 3+$193Nottingham vs Liverpool Winner?$34 on Yes at 15¢, Feb 22
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267E72AADD8F6-0527A7D62A874¢1100%+$385
yes Barcelona,yes Barcelona74¢2+$0
Parlay: Spain + England + Over 1.5 goals scored + Over 1.5 goals scored59¢1100%+$496
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C34E4375D33-53B3B09BD1781¢1100%+$148
yes Spain,yes Over 1.5 goals scored73¢1+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Jan 2026+$63
Feb 2026-$88
Mar 2026-$0
Apr 2026-$4
May 2026-$95
Jun 2026+$67
Aug 2026+$289
Sep 2026-$337
Oct 2026+$962
Kalshi leaderboards
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