Stats as of
poll.hold
+$9.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 875
- First Seen
- Apr 6, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 4, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 14% won · 513 settled · +$9.6K
poll.hold is a Kalshi trader with 875 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 189 wins and 635 losses on settled markets, $9.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20263676EAEF7B2-B5921DD83D6 on Oct 4.
- Win rate
- 23%
- Return on settled
- +21%
- Money traded
- $55.1K
- Typical trade
- $19
- Avg entry
- 16¢
- Kalshi rank
- #696
Profit over time
+$9.0K-$2.2K
Apr 6Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3809%7%-2 pts
20 to 40¢23829%26%-2 pts
40 to 60¢21550%43%-8 pts
60 to 80¢2468%61%-6 pts
Over 80¢1890%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $921912%-$802
$9 to $1921923%-$10
$19 to $6821928%-$1.4K
$68 to $1.7K21830%+$11.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays54414%+$9.6K
Baseball16641%-$373
MMA6532%-$386
Soccer2228%+$10
NBA1754%+$149
Tennis2119%-$304
Side taken
Yes 86%14% No
If you had copied poll.hold
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$639
Profit
on $28700 staked
64-223
Record
22% win rate
-2%
Return
1 still open
+$1.8K-$3.0K
Jul 13Sep 28
-$5.2K
Max drawdown
261% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.97×
Profit factor
$21.7K won vs $22.3K lost
-2.2 pts
Edge vs implied
22% won at 24¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 25
- Deepest drawdown
- 83 trades
By category
sports283 settled-8%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20263676EAEF7B2-B5921DD83D6
Oct 4
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202642EBD41822B-6C93370042E
Oct 3
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026D54F7DA4C1F-FAC5C6B975B
Oct 3
Biggest wins
- 1+$9.0KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026D54F7DA4C1F-FAC5C6B975B$698 on Yes at 7¢, Oct 3
- 2+$3.6KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202642EBD41822B-6C93370042E$947 on Yes at 21¢, Oct 3
- 3+$1.9Kyes Seattle,yes San Francisco,yes Detroit$378 on Yes at 17¢, Sep 9
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Milwaukee,yes Philadelphia,yes Toronto26¢20%-$380
Parlay: Seattle + San Francisco + Detroit1+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026D0C758FED8B-EF3A73484C91+$0
Milwaukee wins44¢567%+$489
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20263676EAEF7B2-B5921DD83D646¢10%-$963
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 7Oct 4
Profit by month
Apr 2026+$15
May 2026-$815
Jun 2026-$641
Jul 2026+$745
Aug 2026+$1.6K
Sep 2026-$3.2K
Oct 2026+$11.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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